地区财政能力、引资竞争与地方债规模研究

发布时间：2018-03-09 02:18

本文选题：地区财政能力　切入点：地方债规模　出处：《当代财经》2017年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：近年来,地方债规模的增长成为我国经济发展和地方财政运行中的焦点问题。通过将地方财政能力首次引入分析模型,并将财政能力、财政赤字、预算软约束和经济发展模式纳入统一的研究框架。考虑到债务的双重引资作用以及区域间的差异,采用空间计量模型,从总体和区域两方面估计上述因素与地方债务规模累积的关系。研究发现,财政能力对地方债务规模具有重要的影响,尤其是对东部地区影响更大;对于中西部地区,财政收支缺口的压力对债务规模增长不可小觑。所以,应根据各地区实际情况,策略性调整财政分配关系,抑制债务需求;建立可靠的偿债机制,降低地方债风险;健全地方债制度和法律约束,促进地方债可持续发展。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the growth of local debt has become the focus of our country's economic development and the operation of local finance. Soft budget constraints and models of economic development are incorporated into a unified research framework. Taking into account the dual role of debt and regional differences, spatial measurement models are used. The relationship between the above factors and the accumulation of local debt is estimated from the overall and regional aspects. The study found that fiscal capacity has an important impact on the scale of local debt, especially in the eastern part of the country; for the central and western regions, Therefore, according to the actual situation of various regions, we should adjust the financial distribution relationship strategically, restrain debt demand, establish reliable debt repayment mechanism and reduce the risk of local debt. Improve the local debt system and legal constraints, and promote the sustainable development of local debt.
【作者单位】：山东大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“深化收入分配制度改革的财税机制与制度研究”(13&ZD031);国家社会科学基金重点项目“深化税收制度改革与完善地方税体系研究”(14AZD023)
【分类号】：F812.5

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