辽宁省地方政府债务的风险及对策研究

发布时间：2018-05-31 09:00

本文选题：辽宁省 + 地方政府债务　；参考：《东北大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放三十多年以来,我国各个地区经济都得到了巨大的发展。随着改革的深入,各级地方政府都获得了较大的对内改革、对外开放的经济自主权,争先恐后地发展地方经济。在这个过程中,地方政府债务的问题逐渐浮现到公众视线中来,其规模、风险与管理都受到了广泛的关注。辽宁省作为昔日东北老工业基地的领头羊,经历过辉煌与没落之后,在国家振兴东北老工业基地战略的推动下,近年来保持了经济的较快增长,同样也积累了自身的债务问题。本文以财政风险矩阵作为依据,对辽宁省地方政府债务的规模进行了划分,引入了地方政府综合债务的概念作为风险评估的对象。然后层次分析法构建风险评估模型,计算出辽宁省地方政府综合债务风险的大小,并得出当前辽宁省整体债务风险处于接近高度风险的水平的结论。然后从经济、社会、政治的角度,分析得出辽宁省地方政府的债务风险会带来的负面影响,同时分析出形成辽宁省地方政府债务风险的原因。最后,基于风险评估、成因分析和其他国家的经验,本文从相关领域的改革和构建辽宁省地方政府债务管理的基本框架两个角度提出了解决债务问题的对策建议。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up more than 30 years ago, our country each region economy has obtained the huge development. With the deepening of reform, local governments at all levels have gained greater internal reform, opening up to the outside world economic autonomy, scrambling to develop the local economy. In this process, the problem of local government debt gradually emerged to the public, its scale, risk and management have been widely concerned. Liaoning Province, as the leader of the old industrial base in Northeast China, has experienced glory and decline. Under the promotion of the national strategy of revitalizing the old industrial base in Northeast China, Liaoning Province has maintained the rapid economic growth in recent years, and has also accumulated its own debt problems. Based on fiscal risk matrix, this paper divides the scale of local government debt in Liaoning Province, and introduces the concept of comprehensive debt of local government as the object of risk assessment. Then the AHP constructs the risk assessment model, calculates the local government comprehensive debt risk of Liaoning Province, and draws the conclusion that the overall debt risk of Liaoning Province is close to the high risk level. Then from the economic, social and political point of view, the paper analyzes the negative impact of the debt risk of the local government in Liaoning Province, and analyzes the reasons for the formation of the debt risk of the local government in Liaoning Province. Finally, based on the risk assessment, cause analysis and the experience of other countries, this paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions to solve the debt problem from the aspects of the reform in related fields and the construction of the basic framework of debt management of the local government in Liaoning Province.
【学位授予单位】：东北大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F812.5

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