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地方政府性债务风险协同管理机制研究

发布时间:2018-06-05 03:25

  本文选题:地方债务 + 债务风险 ; 参考:《哈尔滨商业大学》2017年硕士论文


【摘要】:近年来,在化解国际金融危机爆发负面影响,国家为了保持经济平稳较快发展出台了一系列经济刺激政策,在刺激经济增长的同时也带来负面效应,导致地方政府在中央政策引导下,为了促进地区经济增长,大量进行基础设施建设投资拉动内需。但由于地方政府的自身财力无法承担规模巨大的资金投入,为了弥补资金不足只能选择债务融资,严重影响了地方财政的健康发展。地方政府债务虽然在推动地方经济发展、为基础设施建设筹集资金等方面具有积极促进作用,但如果缺乏科学有效的地方政府性债务风险管理,没有对地方政府自身的财政承受能力进行评估,盲目扩大债务融资规模,导致地方政府无法承担还本付息的义务,地方政府就会爆发债务危机,影响社会稳定及经济健康发展。地方政府性债务风险的协同管理机制研究以协同理论为核心,强调各个风险主体之间的合作,能够对政府举债行为进行全过程、全方位的监督,提高地方政府性债务风险管理水平。在对地方政府性债务风险协同管理机制的研究中,以协同理论、公共产品理论、委托代理理论以及财政分权等为理论依据,对地方政府性债务风险相关概念进行界定,综合运用文献分析法、理论分析法、定性分析法以及比较分析法,分析我国地方政府性债务风险现状以及地方政府性债务管理现状,发现我国地方政府性债务风险管理存在:债务资金规模大使用效率低、政府债务风险与市场联动风险加剧、缺乏第三方协同管理、政府间缺乏合作监督、风险预警机制缺乏等问题。深度剖析地方债务风险产生的原因,运用博弈分析方法,揭示协同管理对于防范地方政府性债务风险传导扩散中的作用。在研究过程中积极借鉴国际先进经验,提出构建地方政府性债务风险协同管理机制的具体指导意见:完善地方政府债务相关法律法规、构建有效的地方政府债务协同管理框架、构建地方政府间信息实时共享平台和建立风险评估与预警机制。针对我国地方债务的具体问题,提出切实有效的指导意见:构建多级政府间债务风险协同管理机制、构建政府与市场间协同管理机制以及人大与政府间协同管理机制。通过建立多方位、跨领域、跨区域的地方政府性债务风险协同管理机制,提高我国地方政府性债务风险管理水平。
[Abstract]:In recent years, in order to resolve the negative impact of the outbreak of the international financial crisis, the state has introduced a series of economic stimulus policies in order to maintain a steady and rapid economic development, which not only stimulates economic growth but also brings negative effects. In order to promote regional economic growth, local governments, under the guidance of central policies, invest in infrastructure construction to boost domestic demand. However, the local government can not afford the huge scale of capital investment, in order to make up for the lack of funds can only choose debt financing, which seriously affects the healthy development of local finance. Although local government debt plays an active role in promoting local economic development and raising funds for infrastructure construction, but in the absence of scientific and effective local government debt risk management, Without the evaluation of the local government's financial affordability and blindly expanding the scale of debt financing, the local government can not bear the obligation of servicing capital and interest, and the local government will break out the debt crisis and affect the social stability and the healthy development of the economy. The research on the cooperative management mechanism of local government debt risk is based on the synergetic theory, which emphasizes the cooperation among various risk subjects, and can supervise the whole process of the government borrowing behavior. We will raise the level of risk management for local government debt. In the research of local government debt risk coordination management mechanism, based on the coordination theory, public goods theory, principal-agent theory and fiscal decentralization, this paper defines the related concepts of local government debt risk. This paper analyzes the present situation of risk of local government debt and the present situation of management of local government debt in China by means of literature analysis, theoretical analysis, qualitative analysis and comparative analysis. It is found that the risk management of local government debt exists in the following aspects: low efficiency of large scale use of debt funds, aggravation of government debt risk and market linkage risk, lack of third party coordination management and lack of cooperative supervision between governments. Lack of risk warning mechanism and other problems. The causes of local debt risk are analyzed in depth, and the role of cooperative management in preventing the transmission and diffusion of local government debt risk is revealed by using the game analysis method. In the course of the research, the author actively draws lessons from the international advanced experience, and puts forward the concrete guidance to construct the local government debt risk coordination management mechanism: to perfect the local government debt related laws and regulations, to construct the effective local government debt coordination management frame. To build a real-time information sharing platform between local governments and establish a risk assessment and early warning mechanism. Aiming at the specific problems of local debt in China, this paper puts forward some practical and effective guidance opinions: to construct a multi-level intergovernmental debt risk coordination management mechanism, to construct a cooperative management mechanism between the government and the market, and to establish a cooperative management mechanism between the people's Congress and the government. In order to improve the level of local government debt risk management in China, a multi-directional, cross-domain and cross-regional cooperative management mechanism of local government debt risk is established.
【学位授予单位】:哈尔滨商业大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:F812.5

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