基于环境库兹涅茨曲线的我国经济增长与环境污染相互关系的初步评价

发布时间：2018-01-04 23:22

本文关键词：基于环境库兹涅茨曲线的我国经济增长与环境污染相互关系的初步评价　出处：《青岛大学》2007年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】： 改革开放以来，随着我国经济的高速发展，伴随着各种各样环境问题的产生，研究中国的环境质量与经济增长之间的关系，协调经济和环境发展的关系迫在眉睫。本文首先介绍了有关EKC假说的知识；而后从分析中国经济发展的趋势、三种产业的构成、环境污染与人均GDP的关系入手，基于中国1989年至2005年期间的经济和环境污染方面的历史数据，运用模糊数学的原理，建立评价环境污染水平的数学模型，求出各年份的环境污染综合指数，根据其与人均GDP的对应关系利用Excel软件得出二者之间的关系曲线图和对应关系的数学模型，并对曲线的形成原因进行经济学和环境政策方面的分析，同时给出了曲线走势的原因；最后结合上述分析结果，根掘中国的实际情况，提出保持中国环境与经济可持续发展的对策建议。本文主要内容包括： (1)环境与经济关系的理论分析。 (2)中国环境与经济发展现状描述。 (3)研究中国环境污染综合指数与人均GDP之间的曲线关系，并通过经济学分析其存在的合理性和可能性。通过研究得出以下结论：第一、中国的三种产业中第二产业所占比例增幅较大，第三产业所占比例基本保持不变，，第一产业呈下降趋势。总体而言，产业结构还未达到理想状态。第二、中国固体废弃物排放量随经济的增长呈逐年上升趋势；烟尘排放量在2003年以前为逐年下降趋势，二氧化硫排放量在2003年以前，是先增加，后下降，但在2003年后均呈增长态势；废水的污染状况基本得到控制。第三、中国的EKC曲线的表现形式具有自己的独特性，不呈现倒U型，而是呈倒W型，且受国家环保政策的影响较大。第四、EKC曲线形成的过程中，指标和指标标准体系的选取决定着曲线的形状，环境综合污染指数与人均GDP的拟合计算对客观、正确的分析二者之间的关系也产生一定的影响。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, with the rapid development of Chinese economy, accompanied by a variety of environmental problems, the relationship between environmental quality and economic growth China, imminent relationship coordinative development of economy and environment. This paper firstly introduces the related knowledge of the EKC hypothesis; then China from the analysis of the trend of economic development, three for the industry, starting with the relationship between environmental pollution and per capita GDP during 1989 to 2005, China the historical data of the economic and environmental pollution based on the principle of fuzzy mathematics, mathematical model is established to evaluate the level of environmental pollution, calculate the comprehensive index of environmental pollution each year, according to the mathematical model of the relationship between it and GDP per capita the use of Excel software to calculate the relationship between the two curves and the corresponding relationship, and the formation of the curve is used to analyze the causes of economic and environmental policies, At the same time, the reasons for the trend of the curve are given. Finally, based on the above analysis results, based on the actual situation of China, the countermeasures and suggestions for maintaining sustainable development of China's environment and economy are put forward.
The main contents of this paper are as follows:
(1) the theoretical analysis of the relationship between the environment and the economy.
(2) the description of the current situation of China's environmental and economic development.
(3) the relationship between the comprehensive index of China's environmental pollution and the per capita GDP is studied, and the rationality and possibility of its existence are analyzed by economics.
Through the study, the following conclusions are drawn.
First, the proportion of the second industries in China's three industries has increased a lot. The proportion of the third industries has basically remained unchanged. The primary industry is decreasing. Overall, the industrial structure has not yet reached the ideal state.
Second, solid waste emissions China increased year by year with economic growth; soot emissions in 2003 before declining trend year by year, sulfur dioxide emissions in 2003 before the first increased, then decreased, but after 2003 showed growth; pollution of wastewater under control.
Third, the form of the EKC curve in China has its own uniqueness, not the inverted U type, but the inverted W type, and is greatly influenced by the national environmental protection policy.
Fourth, in the process of EKC curve formation, the selection of index system and index standard system decide the shape of curve. The fitting calculation of environmental comprehensive pollution index and per capita GDP also has certain influence on objective and correct analysis of the relationship between the two.

【学位授予单位】：青岛大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2007
【分类号】：X196;X820

【引证文献】