高速铁路竞争力的模型描述及应用研究

发布时间：2018-02-13 20:09

本文关键词： 高速铁路民航公路市场竞争力优势运距　出处：《北京交通大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：中国高速铁路及客运专线建设正逐步形成高速铁路运输网络。随着高速铁路网络化的发展,高铁亟需提升产品质量和服务品质,构建包括市场竞争力在内的核心竞争力,积极应对民航、公路等运输方式间的竞争,提高铁路运输市场份额。本文在对目前的铁路、民航、公路旅客运输服务进行调查研究和数值分析的基础上,广泛借鉴已有经验,采取实地调查分析、比较分析、数学建模等方法,完成以下研究内容。 (1)建立了基于运输方式的经济性、快速性、舒适性、便捷性、准时性的市场分担率logit模型,对高速铁路竞争力进行量化分析。 (2)对京沪通道客运市场的分担率进行数值计算,发现高速铁路在运输距离为613公里处其市场占有率达到最大值,航空在600--1000公里范围内市场占有率增长速度最快,并随着运距的增加,其快速性优势得到发挥。相比之下,随着运距的增长,普速铁路和公路运输的市场占有率呈下降趋势。 (3)对武广通道客运市场的分担率进行数值计算,发现高速铁路在运距为554公里处其市场占有率达到最大值,航空在600--900公里范围内市场占有率增长速度最快,并随着运距的增加市场份额也保持增长,但涨幅缓慢。相比之下,公路运输则在短距离运输内(79公里)较普速铁路具有竞争优势。 (4)对郑西通道客运市场的分担率进行数值计算,发现普速铁路和高速铁路是客运市场的主体,占据了接近80%的市场份额。高速公路只在运距为42公里范围内具有相对竞争优势,短途运输客运市场主要被普速铁路占据。
[Abstract]:The construction of high-speed railway and passenger dedicated lines in China is gradually forming a high-speed railway transport network. With the development of high-speed railway networking, high-speed rail is in urgent need of improving the quality of products and services and building core competitiveness, including market competitiveness. In order to increase the market share of railway transportation, this paper studies and analyzes the current railway, civil aviation and highway passenger transport services, and draws lessons from the existing experience, based on the investigation and numerical analysis of the current railway, civil aviation and road passenger transport services, in order to increase the market share of railway transportation, such as civil aviation, highway, and so on. Field investigation, comparative analysis, mathematical modeling and other methods are adopted to complete the following research contents. 1) the logit model of market share rate based on economy, rapidity, comfort, convenience and punctuality of transportation mode is established, and the competitiveness of high-speed railway is analyzed quantitatively. A numerical calculation of the share rate of the passenger transport market in the Beijing-Shanghai corridor shows that the market share of the high-speed railway has reached the maximum at a distance of 613 kilometers, and the market share of the airline has the fastest growth rate in the range of 600-1000 km. With the increase of transportation distance, the advantage of speediness is brought into play. In contrast, with the increase of transportation distance, the market share of speed railway and road transportation is decreasing. A numerical calculation of the share rate of the passenger transport market in the Wu-Guang passageway shows that the market share of the high-speed railway reaches the maximum at a distance of 554 km, and the market share of the airline grows fastest in the range of 600-900 km. And as the distance increases, the market share also keeps growing, but the increase is slow. By contrast, road transportation is 79 kilometers in short distance) and has a competitive advantage over speed rail. 4) the numerical calculation of the share rate of the passenger transport market in the Zhengxi passage shows that the common speed railway and the high speed railway are the main parts of the passenger transport market, occupying nearly 80% market share. The expressway only has a relative competitive advantage in the range of 42 kilometers. Short-distance passenger transport market is dominated by speed railway.
【学位授予单位】：北京交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F532

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