沈阳桃仙机场航空物流枢纽建设项目的经济效益评价

发布时间：2018-02-15 03:36

本文关键词： 航空物流轴辐式网络层析分析-综合模糊评价方法趋势外推法计量经济法　出处：《吉林大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着全球经济一体化的发展，国与国、地区与地区、城市与城市的企业合作和交流愈加频繁，交换和转移物资的数量和次数日益增多。良好的现代物流环境的积极带动了航空物流快速发展，很多物资的调配需要采用航空运输，因而，将机场建设成为航空枢纽将会帮助所位于城市带来了大量的客流、物流、信息流、资金流的汇集，成为枢纽的机场将会是城市发展的新引擎。辽宁省国民生产总值快速增长，极大地刺激了沈阳机场的航空运输的繁荣和需求，沈阳机场的航空物流建设不仅能够促进机场自身和航空运输的发展，并带动沈阳的现代物流业的发展，，沈阳桃仙机场的航空物流发展需把握住机场的整体发展态势，积极推动了航空物流产业和相关本地产业的协同发展，增加国内外的航班航线，搭建匹配的航空物流功能、信息、服务平台，提供更加高效快捷航空物流服务能力，推进机场航空物流枢纽的建设。随着振兴东北老工业地区的国家战略的逐步落实，东北三省的经济发展突飞猛进，沈阳桃仙机场提出近期定位是建设东北区域航空枢纽和远期定位是东北亚门户航空枢纽，那么建设航空物流枢纽即成为沈阳桃仙机场实践战略重要的子战略。近年来，航空物流枢纽作为一个全新课题被专家和学者广泛的研究。同时，全国、辽宁省和沈阳市的社会经济和物流产业都处于高速发展期，国民经济和区域经济的影响都将为沈阳桃仙机场的发展带来了巨大的机遇。本文首先介绍航空物流及相关理论研究；然后，采用趋势外推法和计量经济法预测货邮量的基础上，利用熵值法确定权重系数，通过组合预测模型方法对货邮量进行预测；接下来，分析沈阳桃仙机场发展定位和发展环境，研究航空物流枢纽建设的盈利能力，进一步，建立以经济效益、国民经济、不确定因素和区域发展为一级指标的航空物流枢纽建设评价指标体系，通过层次分析-综合模糊评价法对综合经济影响能力进行评价；最后对沈阳桃仙机场航空物流枢纽的建设发展提出了对策建议。当前，沈阳桃仙机场正努力探索并积极开展全面的航空物流发展规划，因地制宜，加快建设步伐，服务于整个东北区域甚至是全国，满足日益增长的航空运输需求，促进航空物流枢纽建设，提高经济快速发展，提升人民生活水平。
[Abstract]:With the development of global economic integration, enterprise cooperation and exchange between countries, regions, cities and cities have become more frequent. The quantity and times of exchanging and transferring materials are increasing day by day. The good modern logistics environment actively drives the rapid development of aviation logistics, and many materials need to be transported by air. Building an airport into an aviation hub will help the city to bring a large number of passenger flows, logistics, information flows, capital flows, and become the hub of the airport will be a new engine for urban development. The rapid growth of Liaoning's gross national product has greatly stimulated the prosperity and demand of air transportation at Shenyang Airport. The construction of air logistics at Shenyang Airport can not only promote the development of the airport itself and air transport. And to promote the development of modern logistics industry in Shenyang, the development of air logistics of Shenyang Taoxian Airport needs to grasp the overall development situation of the airport, actively promote the coordinated development of the aviation logistics industry and related local industries, and increase the flight routes at home and abroad. Building matching aviation logistics functions, information, service platforms, providing more efficient and efficient air logistics service capabilities, and promoting the construction of airport aviation logistics hubs. With the gradual implementation of the national strategy for revitalizing the old industrial areas in Northeast China, The economic development of the three northeastern provinces is advancing by leaps and bounds. Shenyang Taoxian Airport has put forward that the short-term positioning is to build the Northeast China regional aviation hub and the long-term positioning is the Northeast Asia gateway aviation hub. Therefore, the construction of aviation logistics hub has become an important sub-strategy of Shenyang Taoxian Airport practice strategy. In recent years, as a new topic, aviation logistics hub has been extensively studied by experts and scholars. Meanwhile, the social economy and logistics industry of the whole country, Liaoning Province and Shenyang are all in a period of rapid development. The influence of national economy and regional economy will bring great opportunities for the development of Shenyang Taoxian Airport. This paper first introduces the aviation logistics and related theoretical research; then, on the basis of forecasting the quantity of goods by using trend extrapolation and econometric method, The weight coefficient is determined by entropy method, and the cargo quantity is predicted by combination forecasting model. Then, the development orientation and development environment of Shenyang Taoxian Airport are analyzed, and the profitability of aviation logistics hub construction is studied. The evaluation index system of aviation logistics hub construction is established, which takes economic benefit, national economy, uncertain factors and regional development as the first class index. The comprehensive economic impact ability is evaluated by analytic hierarchy process (AHP)-comprehensive fuzzy evaluation method. At last, the paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions for the construction and development of Shenyang Taoxian Airport's aviation logistics hub. At present, Shenyang Taoxian Airport is trying hard to explore and actively carry out comprehensive aviation logistics development planning, in order to adjust measures to local conditions and speed up the pace of construction. To serve the whole Northeast region and even the whole country, to meet the increasing demand of air transportation, to promote the construction of aviation logistics hub, to improve the rapid economic development, and to improve the living standards of the people.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F562

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