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高速铁路建设对沿线地区经济发展影响研究

发布时间:2018-03-02 12:55

  本文选题:高速铁路 切入点:区域经济 出处:《兰州交通大学》2014年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文


【摘要】:近年来,高速铁路的崛起已经成为公众关注的焦点,与常规铁路相比,高速铁路以其速度快,容量大,安全和舒适的优点,极大地满足了社会不同群体的需要,改善了区域通达性,促进了城市间人员流动,从而推动了沿线地区整体经济的快速发展随着时代的进步和经济的发展,许多学者认为建设高速铁路将成为遏制环境污染能源危机交通拥堵等一系列问题逐步恶化的有效途径 本文首先概括了相关领域内的国内外学术成果,以前人的研究成果为基础,研究了高速铁路对沿线地区经济发展的影响作用机理,总结出高速铁路对区域经济的影响主要有两方面:其一是以高速铁路为中心引发其他产业的发展;其二是高速铁路的发展,优化了区域内的交通运输条件,从而推动了客运业的发展,加快了区域间要素的流动高速铁路对沿线地区经济发展的影响效应主要包括经济增长拉动效应产业集聚和扩散效应同城化效应和就业效应等四个方面,,为本文构建分析指标体系提供了有力的依据 本文以京沪高速铁路为例,实证分析了高速铁路对沿线区域经济发展的影响作用通过建立灰色预测模型,根据统计年鉴往年数据,分别预测了2011年和2012年无京沪高速铁路情况下的京沪两地铁路客运和货运密度旅行加权平均时间区域生产总值等各产业经济指标值以及贡献率;并运用有无对比分析法,与实际有京沪高速铁路情况下的京沪两地各产业指标值作以比较,得出了相关结论最后,论文就如何促进高速铁路沿线地区经济发展提出了相应的政策建议
[Abstract]:In recent years, the rise of high-speed rail has become the focus of public attention, compared with the conventional railway, high-speed railway with its high speed, large capacity, good safety and comfort, great to meet the needs of different groups of society, improve the regional accessibility, promote the city between the flow of personnel, so as to promote the rapid development of the whole the economy in the area along with the era of progress and economic development, many scholars believe that the effective way of building high-speed railway will be a series of problems to curb environmental pollution and energy crisis, the gradual deterioration of the traffic congestion
This paper summarizes the related areas at home and abroad for academic achievement, based on the previous researches, studies the mechanism of high speed railway influence on the economic development of the region along, summed up the impact of high-speed railway on the regional economy has two main aspects: one is to develop high-speed railway as the center caused by other industries; second is the development of high-speed railway, regional transportation conditions were optimized so as to promote the development of passenger transport industry, accelerate the effect of regional factors flow impact of high-speed railway on economic development along the main four aspects including economic growth stimulating effect of industrial agglomeration and diffusion effect of city effect and employment effect, provide a strong basis for the construction of index system analysis
In this paper, the Beijing Shanghai high-speed railway as an example, an empirical analysis of the effect of high-speed railway to regional economic development along the line through the establishment of grey prediction model, according to the statistical yearbook data in previous years, 2011 and 2012 were predicted under the condition of non Beijing Shanghai high speed railway regional average time Beijing and Shanghai railway passenger and freight traffic density weighted GDP of the travel industry the index value and contribution rate; and the use of a comparative analysis, and to compare the actual industrial index of Beijing and Shanghai Beijing Shanghai high speed railway case values, the conclusion finally, a paper on how to promote the economic development of the high-speed railway area, put forward the corresponding policy recommendations

【学位授予单位】:兰州交通大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F127;F532.8

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