高速公路BOT融资项目全过程风险CIM模型评价研究

发布时间：2018-03-19 00:13

本文选题：高速公路　切入点：全过程风险　出处：《长沙理工大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：在高速公路项目领域，BOT融资模式已经取得了长足的发展，但针对该模式的风险管理并没有跟上发展的步伐，尤其是针对该模式全过程的综合风险管理。本文正是在此背景下进行高速公路BOT融资项目全过程风险评价研究的。本文首先对国内外融资项目及融资项目风险管理方面的研究现状做了全面的阐述，并对BOT融资模式的定义、特点及优劣势进行分析，论述了高速公路BOT融资模式的各个参与方；在此基础上，，阐述了高速公路BOT项目运作的一般流程，研究了高速公路BOT融资项目风险管理的一般流程和常用的项目风险评价方法；结合高速公路BOT融资项目风险指标的宏观特征分析，按该模式的运作流程-项目确定拟定阶段、特许经营权招投标阶段、项目开发阶段、建设阶段、运营管理阶段以及项目移交阶段初步选取了指标因素，并通过层次分析法精选得到最终的风险评价指标体系；基于CIM模型分析了高速公路BOT融资项目风险评价中的应用步骤；最后，依托工程案例，对论文建立的CIM融资项目风险评价模型进行了模拟，对其全过程风险进行评价，得到并分析评价结果，结果表明，该模型在风险评价中具有较高的可行性和实用性。本文的研究是对高速公路融资项目风险分析方面一次有益的尝试，试图对高速公路项目风险管理研究提供一定的借鉴作用。
[Abstract]:In the field of highway project, bot financing model has made great progress, but the risk management for this model has not kept up with the pace of development. Especially for the integrated risk management of the whole process of this model, this paper studies the whole process risk evaluation of expressway BOT financing project under this background. In this paper, the current situation of research on financing projects and risk management of financing projects at home and abroad is expounded, and the definition, characteristics and advantages and disadvantages of BOT financing mode are analyzed. This paper discusses the participants of expressway BOT financing mode, and on this basis, expounds the general process of expressway BOT project operation, studies the general process of expressway BOT financing project risk management and common project risk evaluation methods. According to the macro characteristic analysis of the risk index of expressway BOT financing project, according to the operation flowchart of this model, the stage of project determination and development, the stage of franchise bidding, the stage of project development, the stage of construction, At the stage of operation management and project transfer, the index factors are selected preliminarily, and the final risk evaluation index system is obtained by AHP. Based on the CIM model, the application steps in the risk evaluation of expressway BOT financing project are analyzed. Finally, based on the engineering case, the paper simulates the risk evaluation model of CIM financing project, evaluates the whole process risk, obtains and analyzes the evaluation results, the results show that, The model has high feasibility and practicability in risk assessment. The research in this paper is a beneficial attempt in the aspect of risk analysis of expressway financing project, and tries to provide some reference for the study of expressway project risk management.
【学位授予单位】：长沙理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F542;F283;F224

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