京津冀交通建设利益相关者风险态度及风险分担模式研究

发布时间：2018-03-31 23:38

本文选题：风险态度　切入点：风险因素识别　出处：《首都经济贸易大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：自京津冀一体化提出“要优先发展区域交通建设”以来,三地一直共同致力于建设“轨道上的京津冀”。京津冀交通建设项目涉及到京、津、冀三个省区,这些省区之间制度和政策安排上的不协调往往会导致该区域交通项目在可行性研究、融资、规划、建设、运营等阶段出现诸多不确定性,导致所面临的风险十分复杂。这些风险往往贯穿于项目的整个寿命周期,而且会涉及到众多的利益相关者,例如各地政府部门、投资人、业主、金融机构、设计、施工、监理、保险、环保及当地居民。这些利益相关者既是风险损失的承担者和风险收益的获得者,也是项目风险管理活动的决策者,在项目各个阶段发生的风险必然与利益相关者相关联,而项目各利益相关者对待风险的不同态度和他们之间的利益关系,使得风险处置和管理变得更加复杂困难。鉴于京津冀交通项目涉及众多利益相关者,建设过程中面临的风险因素复杂繁多,因此,有效的风险因素识别和合理的风险分担模式至关重要。本文首先对京津冀交通项目建设阶段的主要利益相关者进行识别和分析,调查他们在项目建设阶段的风险态度。然后通过构建施工阶段风险因素识别框架,从利益相关者风险态度的视角出发对京津冀交通建设阶段的风险因素进行识别,采用调查问卷的形式对风险发生的可能性及严重性程度开展调查数据分析,运用风险重要性指数划分风险等级,确定影响项目的关键风险因素,进一步生成具有针对性的风险因素清单。最后基于各利益相关者对于关键风险因素的态度,结合风险分担原则构建京津冀交通建设各利益相关者的风险分担模式。本文从利益相关者风险态度的视角出发对风险因素进行识别,提高了风险识别的准确性,也更具有针对性,而基于此构建的风险分担模式更有利于各利益相关者明确自身责任。本研究提出的风险分担模式及对策建议,可以为京津冀交通项目建设各利益相关者,特别是政府和企业之间的合理分担风险提供理论基础和实践应用指南,为京津冀交通建设施工阶段的风险管理工作提供支持。
[Abstract]:Since Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei integration put forward "priority to develop regional traffic construction", the three places have been working together to build "Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei on track".Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei transportation construction projects involve three provinces and regions, namely, Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei. The incoordination of systems and policy arrangements between these provinces and autonomous regions often leads to the feasibility study, financing, planning, and construction of regional transport projects.Operation and other stages appear many uncertainties, resulting in the risk is very complex.These risks often span the life cycle of the project and involve a wide range of stakeholders, such as local government departments, investors, owners, financial institutions, design, construction, supervision, insurance, environmental protection, and local residents.These stakeholders are both the stakeholders of risk loss and the winners of risk gains, and also the decision makers of project risk management activities. The risks that occur at all stages of the project are necessarily associated with stakeholders.The different attitudes of project stakeholders towards risk and their interest relationship make risk management more complex and difficult.Because the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei transportation project involves many stakeholders and the risk factors in the construction process are complex and numerous, it is very important to identify effective risk factors and reasonable risk sharing model.In this paper, the main stakeholders in the construction phase of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei transportation project are identified and analyzed, and their risk attitude in the construction phase is investigated.Then through the construction stage risk factor identification frame, from the stakeholder risk attitude angle of view, carries on the identification to the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei transportation construction stage risk factor.The questionnaire is used to analyze the probability and severity of the risk, and the risk importance index is used to classify the risk and determine the key risk factors that affect the project.Further generate a targeted list of risk factors.Finally, based on the attitude of the stakeholders to the key risk factors, combined with the principle of risk sharing, this paper constructs the risk sharing model of the stakeholders in the traffic construction of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei.In this paper, the risk factors are identified from the perspective of stakeholders' risk attitude, which improves the accuracy of risk identification and is more targeted, and the risk-sharing model based on this is more helpful for the stakeholders to clarify their own responsibilities.The risk sharing model and countermeasures proposed in this study can provide the theoretical basis and practical application guide for the reasonable risk sharing among the stakeholders in the construction of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei transportation projects, especially between the government and the enterprises.To provide support for the risk management in the construction phase of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F512.7

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