长江航运中心港口发展的经济适应性评价研究

发布时间：2018-04-05 02:29

本文选题：适应性　切入点：长江　出处：《集美大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着建设长江经济带计划被纳入国家战略,长江沿岸的港口城市发展已经进入新的历史阶段。上海、南京、武汉、重庆四座城市作为长江上中下游的核心城市,陆续建设了航运中心,这也使得港口经济对城市经济发展的作用也愈发明显。而飞速发展的城市经济也为港口的发展奠定了坚实的基础。新时期新形势下,港口与城市经济的相互关系也会更加复杂,那么港口的发展能否适应城市经济发展的需要,港口与城市经济如何在相互适应中共同发展,就成了新时期的一项重要且紧迫的话题。本文在总结前人研究成果的基础上,梳理了港口与城市经济的适应性相关理论,将适应性分为发展度、协调度和可持续度来分析。首先对长江四大运中心港口与城市经济的发展现状进行分析,定性分析各港口与城市经济的适应性情况并在各城市间展开横向的对比。然后考虑一系列的影响因素指标,构建港口与经济发展的适应性评价指标体系,同时利用指数平滑法分别对各城市的港口与经济的未来发展情况进行预测,最后利用主成分分析法及协调度模型,从发展度、协调度和可持续度上评价各城市港口与经济的适应性发展趋势。并根据评价结果对港口与城市经济的发展提出建议。本文将通过定性分析与定量分析相结合的方法,分析长江四大航运中心港口和城市经济当前的适应情况和适应性发展趋势,提出新时期新形势下的发展策略建议,对在发展长江经济带背景下,更好地研究港口的经济适应性内涵、把握港口与城市经济相互适应的发展趋势,对实现港口与城市经济更好更快发展,加快推进长江经济带战略,将长江经济带打造成具有全球影响力的内河经济带具有重要的意义。
[Abstract]:With the construction of the Yangtze River Economic Belt being incorporated into the national strategy, the port city development along the Yangtze River has entered a new historical stage.Four cities, Shanghai, Nanjing, Wuhan and Chongqing, as the core cities of the upper and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, have built shipping centers one after another, which makes the role of port economy in the development of urban economy more and more obvious.The rapid development of urban economy also laid a solid foundation for the development of the port.In the new era and new situation, the relationship between port and urban economy will be more complicated. Can the development of port adapt to the needs of urban economic development, and how to develop port and city economy in mutual adaptation?It has become an important and urgent topic in the new era.On the basis of summarizing the previous research results, this paper combs the relevant theories of adaptability between port and urban economy, and divides adaptability into development degree, coordination degree and sustainability degree to analyze.Firstly, this paper analyzes the present situation of the development of port and city economy in the four major transport centers of the Yangtze River, and qualitatively analyzes the adaptability of each port and city economy and makes a horizontal comparison among the cities.Then, considering a series of influencing factors, this paper constructs the adaptability evaluation index system of port and economic development, and forecasts the future development of port and economy of each city by using exponential smoothing method.Finally, by using principal component analysis (PCA) and coordination degree model, the adaptive development trend of port and economy in various cities is evaluated in terms of degree of development, degree of coordination and degree of sustainability.According to the evaluation results, some suggestions are put forward for the development of port and city economy.By combining qualitative analysis with quantitative analysis, this paper analyzes the current adaptation and adaptive development trend of the port and city economy in the four major shipping centers of the Yangtze River, and puts forward some suggestions for the development strategy in the new period and in the new situation.In the context of the development of the Yangtze River economic belt, we should better study the connotation of port's economic adaptability, grasp the development trend of port and urban economy adapting to each other, achieve better and faster development of port and urban economy, and accelerate the strategy of promoting the Yangtze River economic belt.It is of great significance to build the Yangtze River economic belt into a inland river economic belt with global influence.
【学位授予单位】：集美大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F552.7

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