基于DEA和偏相关分析的港城发展关联效应

发布时间：2018-04-05 17:20

本文选题：港城互动　切入点：DEA分析　出处：《中国航海》2017年02期

【摘要】：以港城关系发展为研究对象,在对宁波港进行深入调研的基础上,分别运用数据包络分析(Data Envelopmert Analysis,DEA)方法和偏相关分析方法对宁波市港城互动情况进行研究。通过DEA分析得到:2011年以前,宁波市港城之间呈现明显的互动现象,港口对城市发展的推动作用明显;2011—2014年,宁波港发展逐步进入缓慢增长的成熟期,宁波市经济逐步进入自身发展的阶段;而到2015年,宁波港进入下降发展阶段。基于偏相关分析及相关分析理论对宁波市港城关系的发展进行研究,结果表明:宁波港的发展对宁波市经济的推动作用显著,且集中表现在第二和第三产业;城市经济的发展对港口吞吐量的提升作用明显,大力发展第三产业、推动产业升级是宁波市港城协调互动发展的必然趋势。
[Abstract]:Taking the development of port and city relationship as the research object, the interaction between Ningbo Port and Ningbo City is studied by using data Envelopmert Analysis (DEAA) method and partial correlation analysis method.Through DEA analysis, it is concluded that before 2011, there was obvious interaction between Ningbo port and port, and the port played an important role in urban development from 2011-2014, and Ningbo port gradually entered the mature period of slow growth.Ningbo's economy has gradually entered the stage of its own development, and by 2015, Ningbo Port has entered the stage of declining development.Based on the theory of partial correlation analysis and correlation analysis, this paper studies the development of the relationship between the port and the city of Ningbo. The results show that the development of Ningbo port plays a significant role in promoting the economy of Ningbo, and concentrated on the second and third industries;The development of urban economy plays an important role in the promotion of port throughput. It is an inevitable trend of coordinated and interactive development of Ningbo Port City to vigorously develop tertiary industry and promote industrial upgrading.
【作者单位】：上海海事大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：上海海事大学博士生创新基金(2016ycx061)
【分类号】：F127;F552.7

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