国际海运业碳排放量与世界海运货物周转量及经济总量的关系研究

发布时间：2018-04-17 00:31

本文选题：国际海运业 + 长期协整　；参考：《科技管理研究》2014年13期

【摘要】：海运贸易离不开海上运输,海上运输产生的碳排放量随着世界海运货物周转量的快速发展而逐年增加,而世界海运贸易是世界经济情况的晴雨表。因此,国际海运业的CO2排放量与世界海运贸易量及世界经济之间应该有一种长期稳定的关系。选取1990-2010年的实际数据,利用Econometric Views软件工具,运用协整分析的方法,对这3个时间序列之间的关系进行了实证研究。研究结果表明,三者之间存在长期的协整关系;国际航运CO2排放和世界海运贸易互为Granger因果关系,同时世界经济增长也是国际航运CO2排放的Granger原因。最后根据计量分析的结果对海运业的节能减排提出了措施建议。
[Abstract]:Seaborne trade is inseparable from maritime transportation. The carbon emissions produced by maritime transportation increase with the rapid development of the world's seaborne cargo turnover, and the world seaborne trade is a barometer of the world economic situation.Therefore, there should be a long-term and stable relationship between the CO2 emissions of the international shipping industry and the volume of world maritime trade and the world economy.Based on the actual data from 1990 to 2010, the relationship between these three time series is studied empirically by using the Econometric Views software tool and the method of cointegration analysis.The results show that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between the three, that the CO2 emissions from international shipping and world shipping trade are Granger causality, and that the growth of world economy is the Granger cause of CO2 emissions from international shipping.Finally, according to the results of econometric analysis, some suggestions on energy saving and emission reduction of marine transportation industry are put forward.
【作者单位】：上海海事大学交通运输学院;
【基金】：国家科技支撑计划项目“国际应对气候变化中行业减排与市场机制中关键问题的支撑技术研究”(20130056) 浙江省海事局计划项目“国际海运温室气体减排市场机制对策研究”(1213094)
【分类号】：F551;F205

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