锦州港专业化煤炭码头投资效益评价研究

发布时间：2018-04-17 01:37

本文选题：锦州港 + 煤炭码头　；参考：《大连海事大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：煤炭在我国能源消费中一直占据主要的地位。虽然随着时间的推移,能源消费结构将会有所优化,即煤炭消费的比重趋于下降、优质清洁能源如天然气、水电、核电的消费的比重逐步上升。但是,综合各项预测,到2050年,煤炭在我国次能源中的比重仍将占据50%以上。而且,单以消费量来说,中国煤炭在未来几十年内需求仍不断上升。所以,如今研究国内港口的煤炭运输状况依然是一项重要的课题。而煤炭集中在我国西北地区的自然布局与我国经济发展东南沿海明显快于西部的形势,必然使今后“北煤南运、西煤东运”的格局长期存在。锦州港是经国务院批准的国家一类开放口岸,是中国渤海西北部400公里海岸线唯一全面对外开放的国际商港。地理位置的优越使得锦州港成为距东北西部和中部、内蒙东部两大经济区域陆路运输里程最短的国际深海港,也使其成为了北煤南运的重要通道。然而,锦州港在发展中还存在着一些问题。比如说,泊位和航道等级偏低,不能适应船舶大型化发展趋势；港口功能分区有待调整；铁路通过能力不足,制约港口的进一步发展等等。在煤炭运量不断上升的今天,积极解决锦州港存在的问题,扩大港口的基础建设,从而适应今后发展的需要是一件对港口对社会都十分重要的事。本文首先分析了中国煤炭运输市场现状与煤炭码头的发展态势、存在问题。接着针对锦州港的腹地煤炭货源市场、煤炭码头环境、煤炭码头现状进行了分析。指出了锦州港当前存在的锦州港基础设施尚不完善、港口功能分区有待调整、以及港口铁路通过能力不足的问题。之后,本文使用二次指数平滑法对锦州港煤炭吞吐量进行了预测,指出锦州港煤炭运输前景良好,发展势头强劲。最后,本文在阐述项目投资经济评价的基本要素后,提出了投资方H公司对锦州港第三港池专业化煤炭码头建设的方案,并从各主要经济指标对其进行了经济评价,得到了改建项目建设方案在经济上可行,项目债务清偿能力强的结论。
[Abstract]:Coal has always occupied the main position in the energy consumption of our country.Although over time, the energy consumption structure will be optimized, that is, the proportion of coal consumption tends to decline, and the proportion of high-quality clean energy such as natural gas, hydropower, nuclear power will gradually increase.However, by 2050, coal will still account for more than 50% of China's secondary energy.Moreover, in terms of consumption alone, China's coal demand will continue to rise in the coming decades.Therefore, the study of coal transport in domestic ports is still an important topic.The natural distribution of coal concentration in northwest China and the situation of economic development in the southeast coast of China are obviously faster than those in the west, which will inevitably make the pattern of "transporting coal from north to south and transporting coal from west to east" to exist for a long time in the future.Jinzhou Port is one of the first class open ports approved by the State Council. It is the only international commercial port with a coastline of 400 km northwest of the Bohai Sea.Because of the advantage of geographical location, Jinzhou Port has become an international deep-sea port with the shortest mileage of land transportation from the western and central parts of Northeast China and the eastern part of Inner Mongolia, and has also become an important channel for the transportation of northern coal to the south.However, there are still some problems in the development of Jinzhou Port.For example, berths and waterway grades are on the low side and can not adapt to the trend of large-scale development of ships; port function zoning needs to be adjusted; the railway transit capacity is insufficient, and the further development of ports is restricted, and so on.In today's increasing coal transport volume, it is very important for the port to solve the existing problems of Jinzhou Port and expand the port infrastructure to meet the needs of future development.Firstly, this paper analyzes the present situation of China's coal transportation market and the development situation of coal wharf.Then, the paper analyzes the coal supply market, the environment of coal wharf and the present situation of coal wharf in Jinzhou Port.It is pointed out that the existing infrastructure of Jinzhou Port is not perfect, the function of port needs to be adjusted, and the capacity of port railway is insufficient.After that, the paper forecasts the coal throughput of Jinzhou Port by using quadratic exponential smoothing method, and points out that the coal transportation prospect of Jinzhou Port is good and the development momentum is strong.Finally, after expounding the basic elements of the economic evaluation of project investment, this paper puts forward the plan of construction of the third pool specialized coal wharf in Jinzhou Port by H Company, and carries on the economic evaluation from each main economic index.The conclusion that the reconstruction project is economically feasible and the project debt repayment ability is strong is obtained.
【学位授予单位】：大连海事大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F552.7;F426.21

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