基于CBR的铁路局突发事件应急决策辅助系统研究

发布时间：2018-04-19 19:19

本文选题：铁路局 + 应急决策　；参考：《中南大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：铁路作为我国交通运输的重要组成部分,在保障国民经济平稳运行、维护经济安全和社会稳定等方面发挥了十分重要的作用。而目前,铁路运输系统突发事件频发,应急管理能力和水平较低。特别在高速铁路、城际铁路、磁悬浮铁路的相继建成运营,应急管理的难度日益加大,应急决策的要求也越来越高。本文基于对国内外突发事件、应急管理、决策辅助系统、案例推理的人工智能理论与技术应用的研究与综述,分析铁路局突发事件应急管理的现实情况,发现铁路局突发事件应急管理的关键要素,并理顺要素之间的关系,搭建铁路局突发事件应急管理体系模型。同时,对基于案例推理的突发事件应急决策方法进行研究,针对铁路局的实际情况,形成了案例生成、推理决策、系统学习、数据库维护等核心功能和系统核心工作内容,进而,构造铁路局突发事件应急决策的总体框架,对数据和功能进行分析,制定包括系统总体框架、功能模块划分、工作流模型在内的系统体系。最后,结合XA铁路局防洪案例,进行模拟推演,验证系统的可行性、科学性和先进性。
[Abstract]:As an important part of transportation in China, railway plays an important role in ensuring the smooth operation of national economy, maintaining economic security and social stability. But at present, the railway transportation system emergencies occur frequently, the emergency management ability and the level are low. Especially in the high-speed railway, inter-city railway, maglev railway has been built and operated, the difficulty of emergency management is increasing day by day, and the requirement of emergency decision is becoming higher and higher. Based on the research and summary of the application of artificial intelligence theory and technology in emergency management, emergency management, decision support system and case-based reasoning, this paper analyzes the reality of emergency management in railway bureau. The key elements of emergency management of railway bureau are found, and the relationship among them is straightened out, and the model of emergency management system of railway bureau is built. At the same time, the method of emergency decision based on case-based reasoning is studied. According to the actual situation of railway bureau, the core functions and contents of the system are formed, such as case generation, reasoning decision, system learning, database maintenance and so on. Then, the general framework of emergency decision of railway bureau is constructed, the data and function are analyzed, and the system system including system framework, function module partition and workflow model is established. Finally, the feasibility, scientific and advanced nature of the system are verified by simulating and deducing the flood control case of XA Railway Bureau.
【学位授予单位】：中南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F532

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