我国集装箱港口竞争的博弈分析

发布时间：2018-06-11 17:39

本文选题：集装箱港口 + 竞争　；参考：《大连海事大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：经济全球化需要可靠、高效的集装箱运输完成物资的全球化运输,30多年的对外开放使我国连续多年成为世界集装箱运输需求最大的国家。作为全球集装箱运输网络的重要节点,我国集装箱港口在全球港口中的地位日渐重要。然而,2008年世界经济危机爆发以来,世界集装箱运输业发展显著放缓。随着外部需求放缓、我国经济结构调整,港航业经营面临各种新趋势,港口之间的竞争,尤其是同—区域内面对重合腹地的港口间竞争越来越激烈。如何提高竞争力成为各集装箱港口密切关注的问题。本文研究了同一区域内两个集装箱港口之间的竞争。首先构建了考虑价格成本、时间成本和碳排放成本的广义运输成本模型,利用该模型进行了腹地的初始划分。基于班轮公司在实际运营中的优势地位,考虑了三种情形下班轮公司、大型港口及小型港口的收益,即通过开辟干线班轮航线、开辟支线班轮航线以及依次挂靠两个港口,进而利用完全信息动态博弈求解子博弈精炼纳什均衡解。同时还考虑到政府补贴、碳排放成本以及采用不同价格策略下的均衡结果。将天津港和黄骅港之间的竞争作为案例进行测算,得出黄骅港目前不适宜投资集装箱码头,因为其无法满足开辟集装箱班轮航线的最小箱量。最后为促进集装箱港口良性竞争与合作提出了一些建议,希望为港口的经营决策提供参考。
[Abstract]:Economic globalization requires reliable and efficient container transportation the global transportation of goods and materials has opened to the outside world for more than 30 years making China become the country with the greatest demand for container transportation in the world for many years. As an important node of the global container transportation network, the container port of our country plays an increasingly important role in the global port. However, since the outbreak of the world economic crisis in 2008, the development of the world container transport industry has slowed significantly. With the slowdown of external demand and the adjustment of China's economic structure, the operation of the port and shipping industry is facing various new trends, and the competition among ports is becoming more and more intense, especially among ports in the same region facing the overlapping hinterland. How to improve the competitiveness of container ports has become the focus of close attention. This paper studies the competition between two container ports in the same region. Firstly, a generalized transport cost model considering price cost, time cost and carbon emission cost is constructed, and the initial division of hinterland is carried out by using this model. Based on the superior position of the liner company in actual operation, the income of the liner company, the large port and the small port is considered under three circumstances, namely, by opening up the main line liner route, opening the branch liner route, and linking the two ports in turn. Then the subgame refined Nash equilibrium solution is solved by using the complete information dynamic game. It also takes into account government subsidies, the cost of carbon emissions, and equilibrium results under different price strategies. Taking the competition between Tianjin Port and Huanghua Port as a case study, it is concluded that Huanghua Port is not suitable to invest in container terminal at present, because it can not meet the minimum volume of container liner route. Finally, some suggestions are put forward to promote the benign competition and cooperation of container ports, hoping to provide reference for port management decisions.
【学位授予单位】：大连海事大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F552;F224.32

【参考文献】