高速铁路和既有线客流分担率研究

发布时间：2018-06-28 15:14

本文选题：高速铁路 + 既有线　；参考：《北京交通大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：高速铁路的建成和投入运营,缓解了铁路运输能力紧张的局面,进一步完善了铁路客运产品,更好地满足了旅客多层次、多方位的客运需求。在运输通道中,为提高能力利用率,增强铁路运输的市场竞争力,高速铁路和既有线面临着如何合理分工的问题。研究高速铁路和既有线的客流分担率,对实现高速铁路和既有线的合理分工,优化运力资源配置,方便旅客出行等都具有重要意义。本文在分析高速铁路和既有线客流分担率影响因素的基础上,分析旅客出行选择特征,将客流分为高、中、低三类,并结合不同列车的服务属性,将高速铁路和既有线的分担率转化为计算分客流类型的列车分担率。从旅客出行意愿的角度,由于不同类型客流的选择行为特征和不同铁路运输通道在客流结构方面的差异,并结合不同等级列车的服务属性,构建了分客流类型的不同等级列车、不同席别的客流分担率计算模型；根据相应通道的客流结构,得出基于旅客出行意愿的不同等级列车的客流分担率。考虑到铁路运输产品供给在一定程度影响旅客的选择行为,所以从铁路运输供给的角度,重点分析了列车开行方案对客流分担率的影响,给出了基于列车开行方案的客流分担率修正方法,得到受铁路运输供给影响的不同等级列车的客流分担率,进而结合各等级列车在高速铁路和既有线的开行情况,得出整个通道内高速铁路和既有线的客流分担率在此基础上,进一步分析客流分担率对旅客时间价值、通道的客流结构和票价的敏感性,计算出不同方案下高速铁路和既有线的分担率变化情况,为高速铁路和既有线合理分工方案的确定提供依据,也为铁路相应政策的制定和实施提供参考。论文以武广通道为例,根据构建的模型计算出的武广通道内高速铁路和既有线的客流分担率结果与实际情况较为接近,验证了模型的合理性和实用性；从旅客时间价值、通道客流结构和票价三个方面分析客流分担率的敏感性,计算得出各等级列车的分担率变化趋势并分析其敏感性,为武广通道列车开行方案的制定提供参考。
[Abstract]:The completion and operation of high-speed railway alleviates the shortage of railway transport capacity, further improves the railway passenger transport products, and better meets the multi-level and multi-directional passenger transport demand of passengers. In order to improve the utilization ratio of capacity and enhance the market competitiveness of railway transportation, high-speed railway and existing railway are faced with the problem of rational division of labor. It is of great significance to study the passenger flow sharing rate of high-speed railway and existing railway, to realize the rational division of labor between high-speed railway and existing railway, to optimize the allocation of transportation capacity resources, and to facilitate passenger travel. Based on the analysis of the factors affecting the passenger flow sharing rate of the high-speed railway and the existing railway, this paper analyzes the characteristics of passenger travel selection, classifies the passenger flow into three categories: high, middle and low, and combines the service attributes of different trains. The share rate of high speed railway and existing railway is transformed into the train share rate of passenger flow type. From the point of view of passenger travel intention, because of the different behavior characteristics of different types of passenger flow and the differences in passenger flow structure of different railway transport channels, and combined with the service attributes of different grade trains, the different grade trains with different passenger flow types are constructed. According to the passenger flow structure of the corresponding channel, the passenger flow sharing rate of different class trains based on passenger travel intention is obtained. In view of the fact that the supply of railway transport products affects the behavior of passengers to some extent, from the point of view of railway transport supply, the influence of train operation scheme on passenger flow sharing rate is analyzed emphatically. In this paper, the method of correcting passenger flow sharing rate based on train operation scheme is given, and the passenger flow sharing rate of different grade trains affected by railway transportation supply is obtained, and then combined with the operation of each grade train on high-speed railway and existing railway line, On the basis of this, the paper further analyzes the sensitivity of the passenger flow sharing rate to the passenger time value, the passenger flow structure and the ticket price of the passage. The variation of the sharing rate of high-speed railway and existing railway under different schemes is calculated, which provides the basis for the determination of rational division of labor between high-speed railway and existing railway, and also provides a reference for the formulation and implementation of the corresponding policies of railway. This paper takes Wuguang Channel as an example, according to the constructed model, the result of passenger flow sharing rate of high-speed railway and existing railway in Wuguang Channel is close to the actual situation, which verifies the rationality and practicability of the model. This paper analyzes the sensitivity of passenger flow sharing rate from three aspects of channel passenger flow structure and ticket price, calculates the variation trend of each grade train's share rate and analyzes its sensitivity, which provides a reference for the formulation of Wuguang channel train operation plan.
【学位授予单位】：北京交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：U293.13

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