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高速铁路对中国城市产业市场潜力的影响研究

发布时间:2018-08-14 12:23
【摘要】:交通作为城市发展的重要作用力,对城市经济及产业发展起到推动作用。为了探讨高铁对我国城市产业结构的影响,本文修正了市场潜力模型并识别出可能利用高铁的产业,计算2012年基于普铁及基于高铁城市各产业市场潜力及变化值,分析高铁对城市产业市场潜力的规模及空间影响特征。得到:1)高铁对制造业的市场潜力规模影响最大,其次分别为批发零售业、交通邮政业、租赁商服业、信息技术服务业、科研服务业、住宿餐饮业,对金融业市场潜力影响最小;2)城市规模越大,高铁对其产业市场潜力的影响越大;3)高铁使得制造业、交通邮政业、批发零售业、信息技术服务业、住宿餐饮业、租赁商服业和科研服务业的空间分布更加极化,使金融业的空间分布更加均衡。高铁对城市不同产业的空间集聚分布影响呈现"多中心廊道"结构,长三角、珠三角、海西沿线、京津沿线成为各产业主要的集聚分布地区。
[Abstract]:Transportation, as an important force of urban development, plays an important role in promoting urban economic and industrial development. In order to explore the impact of high-speed rail on China's urban industrial structure, this paper revises the market potential model and identifies the industries that may utilize high-speed rail, and calculates the market potential and change value of the industries based on General Iron and high-speed rail in 2012. The results show that: (1) High-speed rail has the greatest impact on the market potential of the manufacturing industry, followed by wholesale and retail, transportation and postal, leasing business services, information technology services, scientific research services, accommodation and catering, which has the smallest impact on the market potential of the financial industry; The larger the model, the greater the impact of high-speed rail on its industrial market potential; 3) High-speed rail makes the spatial distribution of manufacturing, transportation and postal, wholesale and retail, information technology services, accommodation and catering, rental business services and research services more polarized, making the spatial distribution of the financial industry more balanced. The impact shows a "multi-center corridor" structure, along the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta, Hercynian, Beijing and Tianjin become the main industrial agglomeration and distribution areas.
【作者单位】: 北京大学城市与环境学院;
【基金】:国家自然科学基金项目(41171131)
【分类号】:F299.2;F532.3

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