基于低碳运输的大连港集装箱海铁联运效益分析

发布时间：2018-08-16 08:01

【摘要】：气候变化哥本哈根大会后,“低碳、减排”引起了世界人民的关注。中国政府对世界做出郑重承诺,并提出了在“十二五”期间单位GDP低碳减排17%的要求。运输业作为能源消耗较大的产业,在当前形势下,为达到低碳目标,必须大力发展低碳运输,大力推行高能效、低能耗的运输方式。随着东北老工业基地振兴步伐的加大,东北地区经济得到了快速发展,这为大连港的发展创造了好的机遇。在把大连港建设成为东北亚航运中心的进程中,集装箱运输的海铁联运发挥着重要的作用。集装箱海铁联运,作为一种重要的多式联运,既提高运输效率节约成本,又大大减少了碳排放,在港口集疏运体系中体现出较大的优势。在此背景下,本文通过预测低碳运输下,大连港集装箱海铁联运的发展趋势；分析计算集装箱海铁联运带来的经济效益,突出海铁联运发展的重要性和必要性。本文从介绍低碳运输和海铁联运发展开始,综合国内外相关发展研究现状,提出问题研究的的重要意义。论文第三章、第四章是本文的主体部分,第三章从低碳运输要求影响下,大连港集装箱集疏运比例变化入手,分别分析预测了大连港集装箱海铁联运的趋势发展量和低碳转移量。第四章针对集装箱海铁联运与海公联运在运输成本、碳排放量、运输时间、运输安全性等方面的不同,分别分析计算了,集装箱海铁联运在包括降低运输成本效益、减少碳排放效益、节约货物在途时间的时间价值成本效益和减少交通事故和货损事故的安全成本效益等四方面的效益。全文的重点在于根据我国低碳减排要求,对大连港集装箱海铁联运的运量预测,以及四种因素下的效益计算两个方面。在预测中,根据所大连港历年的数据特征,选取灰色系统多变量数列预测模型；在效益计算,综合考虑运输方式、运输区间及货物的特性,与海公联运方式对比计算集装箱海铁联运的效益。论文研究结果较为全面的反映了加快集装箱海铁联运发展的必要性。
[Abstract]:After the Copenhagen Climate change Conference, low carbon, emission reduction has attracted the attention of people all over the world. The Chinese government has made a solemn commitment to the world and has demanded a low carbon reduction of 17% per unit GDP during the 12th Five-Year Plan period. Transportation industry is a large energy consuming industry. In order to achieve the goal of low carbon transportation, it is necessary to develop low-carbon transportation and carry out transportation mode with high energy efficiency and low energy consumption. With the development of the old industrial base in Northeast China, the economy of Northeast China has been developing rapidly, which has created a good opportunity for the development of Dalian Port. In the process of building Dalian Port into a shipping center in Northeast Asia, sea-rail transport plays an important role in container transport. As an important multimodal transport container seaborne combined transport not only improves the transportation efficiency and saves the cost but also greatly reduces the carbon emissions which embodies a great advantage in the port transportation system. Under this background, this paper forecasts the development trend of container seaborne transport in Dalian Port under low-carbon transportation, analyzes and calculates the economic benefits brought by container seaborne combined transport, and highlights the importance and necessity of the development of seaborne combined transport. In this paper, the development of low-carbon transport and seaborne combined transport is introduced, and the significance of the research is put forward. Chapter three, chapter four is the main part of this paper. The third chapter starts with the change of container transportation proportion in Dalian Port under the influence of low-carbon transportation requirements. The trend and low carbon transfer of container seaborne combined transport in Dalian Port are analyzed and forecasted respectively. The fourth chapter analyzes and calculates the difference in transport cost, carbon emission, transport time, transport safety and so on. The benefits of reducing carbon emission, saving the time value of goods on the way, and reducing the safety and cost benefits of traffic accidents and damage accidents are four aspects. According to the requirements of low carbon emission reduction in China, the paper focuses on forecasting the transport volume of container seaborne combined transport in Dalian Port and calculating the benefit under four factors. In the forecast, according to the data characteristics of the Dalian port, the grey system multivariable sequence prediction model is selected, and in the benefit calculation, the mode of transport, the transport section and the characteristics of the goods are considered synthetically. Compared with sea-public transport mode, the efficiency of container sea-rail transport is calculated. The results of this paper reflect the necessity of accelerating the development of container seaborne-rail transport.
【学位授予单位】：大连海事大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F552;F205

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