旅游服务贸易与经济增长的定量关系分析

发布时间：2018-03-02 09:18

本文关键词： 旅游服务贸易经济增长物质资本　出处：《商业时代》2013年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：随着我国经济的高速发展和经济全球化,我国旅游服务贸易的发展在国民经济体系中已占据重要地位。从国际竞争力来看我国旅游服务贸易,我国现如今已经进入旅游服务贸易大国的行列,但在迈向旅游服务贸易强国的过程中,尚有许多问题有待解决。笔者从理论出发,首先分析了旅游服务贸易的物质资本积累效应,得出促进经济增长发展首先要促进旅游服务贸易发展的结论。其次分析了旅游服务贸易的人力资本效应,得出人力资本效应可以促进旅游服务贸易的发展,不仅对旅游服务方面专业人才数量的增加具有至关重要的作用,同时也有利于提高旅游服务方面专业人才的能力素质。然后是实证分析,笔者对我国旅游服务贸易与经济增长的关系进行了定量分析,首先实证分析我国旅游服务贸易对外依存度。其次实证分析我国旅游服务贸易与经济增长。最后使用格兰杰因果关系检验分析,我国旅游服务贸易出口额及国内生产总值(GDP)。最后对于提升我国旅游服务贸易竞争力提出合理化建议。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of China's economy and economic globalization, the development of China's tourism service trade has occupied an important position in the national economic system. China has now entered the ranks of big countries in tourism service trade, but there are still many problems to be solved in the process of becoming a powerful country in tourism service trade. This paper first analyzes the material capital accumulation effect of tourism service trade, and draws the conclusion that the first step to promote the development of tourism service trade is to promote the development of tourism service trade, and then analyzes the human capital effect of tourism service trade. It is concluded that the effect of human capital can promote the development of tourism service trade, and not only plays an important role in increasing the number of professionals in tourism service, At the same time, it also helps to improve the ability and quality of tourism service professionals. Then, the author makes a quantitative analysis of the relationship between tourism service trade and economic growth in China. First, it analyzes the degree of foreign dependence of China's tourism service trade. Secondly, it empirically analyzes China's tourism service trade and economic growth. Finally, it uses the Granger causality test to analyze the relationship between tourism service trade and economic growth. The export value and GDP of tourism service trade in China are discussed. Finally, some reasonable suggestions are put forward to improve the competitiveness of tourism service trade in China.
【作者单位】：黑龙江东方学院;
【分类号】：F592;F124;F752.68

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