基于九寨沟区域时空负荷均衡的仿真研究

发布时间：2018-08-17 13:20

【摘要】：我国旅游业快速发展在巨大地推动地区经济发展的同时,也给生态环境、社会文化带来较大的负面影响。如何实现旅游业的经济效益、社会效益与生态效益的协调发展引起社会各界的关注。本研究在对九寨沟进行全面考查以及课题组前期工作的基础上,分析了旅游旺季景区内客流的时空变化特征,指出由于游客在时间和空间上的分布不均衡,导致各景点负荷率不均衡,使旅游和生态不能协调发展。因此,有必要设计合理的游客分流方案,实现景点负荷率的均衡。本研究基于最优调度假设基础上,通过仿真技术,模拟"五区分流"下不同分流方案中景点负荷率的波动情况,通过对比各方案下负荷率方差的情况,提出初始调度与稳态调度的概念,并采用静态分流与基于区域时空负荷率均衡动态分流相结合的策略。通过仿真模型验证该策略的分流效果,分析该策略的优点与不足,并提出下一步的研究思路。
[Abstract]:The rapid development of tourism in China has greatly promoted the development of regional economy, but also has brought great negative effects to the ecological environment and social culture. How to realize the coordinated development of economic benefits, social benefits and ecological benefits of tourism has attracted the attention of all walks of life. Based on the comprehensive examination of Jiuzhaigou and the preliminary work of the research group, this study analyzes the spatial and temporal characteristics of tourist flow in the tourist peak season, and points out that the distribution of tourists in time and space is not balanced. As a result, the load rate of various scenic spots is not balanced, so that tourism and ecology can not develop harmoniously. Therefore, it is necessary to design a reasonable scheme of tourist diversion to achieve a balanced load rate of scenic spots. Based on the hypothesis of optimal scheduling, this study simulates the fluctuation of scenic spot load rate in different diversion schemes under "five-zone diversion" by simulation technology, and compares the variance of load rate under each scheme. The concept of initial scheduling and steady scheduling is proposed, and the strategy of combining static shunt with dynamic diversion based on regional spatio-temporal load rate equilibrium is adopted. The shunt effect of the strategy is verified by simulation model, the advantages and disadvantages of the strategy are analyzed, and the next research ideas are put forward.
【作者单位】：四川大学工商管理学院;九寨沟风景名胜区管理局;
【基金】：国家高技术研究发展(863计划)重大资助项目(2008AA04A107) 国家自然科学基金重大国际合作资助项目(71020107027)
【分类号】：F592.7;F224

【共引文献】