入境旅游规模差异与位序规模体系研究——以江西省为例

发布时间：2019-06-10 23:08

【摘要】：选取江西省11个地市1999-2012年入境旅游接待人次和旅游外汇收入数据,综合运用标准差、变异系数、首位度、赫芬达尔-希斯曼指数、基尼系数及位序规模模型,结合Eviews7.0计量软件,对江西省入境旅游规模差异与位序规模分布进行研究。结果发现:江西省地市入境旅游规模绝对差异不断扩大、相对差异日渐缩小,入境旅游地市首位度在交替发展和波动中呈降低趋势,各地市入境旅游表现出更为激烈的竞争态势;江西省入境旅游符合位序规模分布,由初期明显的首位分布转向集中分布,并有进一步向分散均衡型分布的发展态势。总结出江西省入境旅游规模发展的3种不同趋势(稳步上升型、迂回徘徊型和衰退下滑型),并提出了相应对策。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of inbound tourism reception and tourism foreign exchange income from 1999 to 2012 in 11 cities of Jiangxi Province, the standard deviation, coefficient of variation, primacy, Huffindal Heathman index, Gini coefficient and position order scale model were used comprehensively. Combined with Eviews7.0 measurement software, the scale difference and order scale distribution of inbound tourism in Jiangxi Province are studied. The results show that the absolute difference in the scale of inbound tourism in Jiangxi Province is expanding, and the relative difference is decreasing day by day, and the first degree of inbound tourism shows a decreasing trend in the alternation development and fluctuation. The inbound tourism of various cities shows a more fierce competitive situation; The inbound tourism in Jiangxi Province accords with the scale distribution of location order, which changes from the obvious first distribution to the centralized distribution, and has the development trend of further decentralized and balanced distribution. This paper summarizes three different trends of the scale development of inbound tourism in Jiangxi Province (steady upward type, roundabout wandering type and declining and sliding type), and puts forward some corresponding countermeasures.
【作者单位】：华东师范大学商学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目“我国反季旅游市场潜力的区域差异与开发策略研究”(12AJY008)
【分类号】：F592.7

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