中日韩FTA的构建研究
发布时间:2018-03-27 20:16
本文选题:中日韩自由贸易区 切入点:可行性 出处:《河北大学》2014年硕士论文
【摘要】:20世纪下半叶,区域经济一体化加强,世界各重要经济体都在积极的参与区域经济合作,区域经济合作已成为不可逆转的潮流。中日韩作为东亚主要经济国家,更应该积极推进全方位、多层次、宽领域的区域合作,而建立自由贸易区是三国增强政治、经济、贸易联系的最优途径。中日韩自由贸易区将近15亿人口、14万亿美元的生产总值,,5万亿美元的贸易总额,一旦成立将成为世界上最大的自由贸易区。自由贸易区的建立不仅能够推进三国经贸合作,促进东亚地区经济繁荣,而且能够维护亚太地区安全,同时也必将对全球经济一体化产生重要影响。因此,进行中日韩FTA的构建研究具有重要意义。 本文以开展中日韩自由贸易区的必要性为出发点,分析了区域经济一体化的背景,认为中日韩自由贸易区顺应时代潮流,符合中日韩的国家战略,因此有必要积极推进中日韩FTA的构建。接着分别从地缘文化、贸易基础、投资基础、经济互补性四方面,详细论述了建立中日韩自由贸易区的现实基础。指出了三国拥有得天独厚的地理条件,相似的文化传统,庞大的区内贸易流量和相互投资规模,并且利用显性比较优势指数说明三国经济互补性较强,从而较为全面的分析了中日韩自由区的可行性。随后采用计量的方法,根据2012年三国与贸易伙伴的贸易总额,利用贸易引力模型进行实证分析,结果表明三国开展贸易的潜力巨大,并进一步说明了中日韩自由贸易区的非传统收益。然而,中日韩自由贸易区不是一蹴而就的,依然存在经济发展水平差异大,贸易收支失衡,自由贸易区主导权互相竞争,美国及东盟亚太战略的不利影响,以及历史和领土问题。为了中日韩自由贸易区能够早日实现,中日韩之间应逐步取消贸易壁垒,加强政府间的合作,积极开展与多国的贸易往来,同时善于采取间接的方式,努力开展三国次区域合作,并积极利用中韩自由贸易区逐步推进中日韩自由贸易区的建立。
[Abstract]:In the second half of the 20th century, regional economic integration was strengthened, and every important economy in the world was actively participating in regional economic cooperation. Regional economic cooperation has become an irreversible trend. China, Japan and South Korea are the main economic countries in East Asia. We should actively promote regional cooperation in all directions, at various levels and in a wide range of fields. The establishment of a free trade zone is to enhance the political and economic development of the three countries. The best way to trade links. China, Japan and South Korea Free Trade area, with a population of nearly 1.5 billion trillion dollars, gross domestic product of $5 trillion, total trade volume of $5, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000. Once established, it will become the largest free trade area in the world. The establishment of a free trade zone can not only promote economic and trade cooperation among the three countries, promote economic prosperity in East Asia, but also safeguard the security of the Asia-Pacific region. At the same time, it will also have an important impact on global economic integration. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the construction of FTA between China, Japan and South Korea. Based on the necessity of developing China-Japan-Korea Free Trade area, this paper analyzes the background of regional economic integration, and thinks that China-Japan-Korea Free Trade area conforms to the trend of the times and conforms to the national strategy of China, Japan and South Korea. Therefore, it is necessary to actively promote the construction of FTA between China, Japan and South Korea. Then, from the four aspects of geographical culture, trade basis, investment basis, and economic complementarity, This paper discusses in detail the realistic basis for the establishment of a China-Japan-ROK free trade zone. It points out that the three countries have unique geographical conditions, similar cultural traditions, huge intra-regional trade flows and mutual investment scale. And using the dominant comparative advantage index to show that the three countries' economies are highly complementary, thus comprehensively analyzing the feasibility of the free zone between China, Japan and South Korea. Then, by using the metrological method, according to the total trade volume between the three countries and their trading partners in 2012, The results show that the trade potential of the three countries is great, and further explains the non-traditional benefits of the China-Japan-Korea Free Trade area. However, the China-Japan-Korea Free Trade area is not achieved overnight. There are still large differences in the level of economic development, imbalance in trade balance, competition over the dominance of free trade zones, adverse effects of the Asia-Pacific strategy of the United States and ASEAN, and historical and territorial issues. For the sake of the early realization of the China-Japan-ROK Free Trade area, China, Japan and South Korea should gradually remove trade barriers, strengthen intergovernmental cooperation, actively carry out trade exchanges with many countries, and at the same time be good at taking indirect measures to develop subregional cooperation among the three countries. And actively use China-Korea Free Trade area to gradually promote the establishment of China-Japan-Korea Free Trade area.
【学位授予单位】:河北大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F744;F752.7
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