山东省产业结构时空分布差异研究

发布时间：2018-04-03 23:06

本文选题：产业结构　切入点：空间重心模型　出处：《聊城大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：产业结构调整与升级对现在的经济发展产生着越来越重要的影响。近些年来,许多国内外学者对产业结构进行了相关分析。作为东部沿海地区的重要省份之一,山东省在推动东部沿海地区经济发展的过程中起着举足轻重的作用。本文以山东省为例,对区域产业结构时空分布差异进行相关研究,为促进东部沿海地区和区域经济增长提供很好的理论依据和现实依据。首先对产业相关理论进行基础研究,同时又系统介绍关于空间重心模型和灰色关联度的理论方法;然后通过计算产业结构系数,分析近20年的产业结构重心变化的时空轨迹;最后通过灰色关联度进一步分析山东省主导产业研究,为地区产业结构调整提供合理的建议。其次通过定性、定量分析,得出以下结论:借助空间重心模型方法,将计算指标与实际地理位置相关联进行测量,第一,从移动方向上来看,产业重心的方位总体以西偏南居多,同时与山东省的几何中心的距离呈缩小趋势,说明了山东省区域产业结构差异逐渐减小,西南方向地区的产业产值发展速度加快,产业实力增强。同时在纬度与经度变化比值来看,重心迁移呈现纬度变化速度大于经度Y 化速度,可以充分说明东西方向的产业重心差距变化大,但同时出现差距有缩小趋势;第二,从移动距离上来看,自1996年以来重心迁移的速度变化是相对缓慢的,其中在1996-1997年、1997-1998年和2007-2008年期间移动距离比较大。依据产业关联度分析,第二产业对产业结构的关联度最大,在第二产业中,对产业的贡献度比较大的主要是服饰业与橡胶制造业等传统的优势产业,尤其在近几年的经济发展中如电子信息技术、电器机械及器材制造业迅速崛起,这表明山东省的产业发展进行了一定的优化改革,推动对技术信息的发展潜力,使其成为结构调整的新生力量;同时又分别对第一产业、第三产业的主导产业进行了关联分析,发现第三产业的具体行业在近几年逐渐增多,细化,主要的关联产业是基础公共事业,而教育、房地产等对第三产业的贡献度相对较小,这表明山东省对于科技信息的投入需要一定的努力,合理利用房地产等金融行业对区域的应用,促进产业结构优化。最后结合山东省产业重心差异的空间分布以及对主导产业的关联分析结果,提出如下对策、建议。第一,应大力发展优势产业。加强现代农业产业化;改造传统产业,推动高新技术产业;培育主导企业、主导产品。第二,发展绿色经济,优化产业环境。建设绿色循环经济,加大监督力度;采取环境规制措施;建设绿色产业商品生产基地和示范开发区。
[Abstract]:Industrial structure adjustment and upgrade have more and more important influence on the present economic development.In recent years, many domestic and foreign scholars have carried on the correlation analysis to the industrial structure.As one of the important provinces in the eastern coastal area, Shandong Province plays an important role in promoting the economic development of the eastern coastal area.Taking Shandong Province as an example, this paper studies the spatial and temporal distribution differences of regional industrial structure, and provides a good theoretical and practical basis for promoting the eastern coastal areas and regional economic growth.At the same time, it systematically introduces the theory of spatial barycenter model and grey correlation degree, and then analyzes the space-time track of the change of industrial structure center of gravity in the past 20 years by calculating the industrial structure coefficient.Finally, the paper analyzes the leading industry of Shandong Province by grey correlation degree, and provides reasonable suggestions for the adjustment of regional industrial structure.Secondly, through qualitative and quantitative analysis, the following conclusions are drawn: with the help of the spatial barycenter model method, the calculation index is correlated with the actual geographical position. First, from the point of view of moving direction,The orientation of the industrial center of gravity is mostly to the south to the west, and the distance from the geometric center of Shandong Province tends to decrease, which indicates that the difference of the regional industrial structure of Shandong Province is gradually decreasing, and the speed of the development of the industrial output value in the southwest is quickening.Industrial strength has increased.At the same time, in the ratio of latitude to longitude, the shift of gravity center shows that the speed of latitude change is larger than the speed of longitude Y, which fully shows that the gap between the industrial barycenter in east-west direction is large, but at the same time there is a trend of narrowing the gap; second,From the point of view of moving distance, the change of the velocity of gravity center migration has been relatively slow since 1996, in which the moving distance between 19961997 and 2007-2008 was relatively large.According to the analysis of the industrial correlation degree, the secondary industry has the largest correlation degree to the industrial structure. In the second industry, the major contribution to the industry is mainly the traditional superior industries, such as clothing industry and rubber manufacturing industry.Especially in the economic development in recent years, such as electronic information technology, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing industry has risen rapidly, which indicates that the industrial development of Shandong Province has carried out certain optimization reforms, promoting the development potential of technical information.Make it become the new force of structural adjustment, at the same time, separately carry on the correlation analysis to the primary industry and the leading industry of the third industry, and find that the specific industry of the third industry has gradually increased and refined in recent years.The main related industries are the basic public utilities, but the contribution of education and real estate to the tertiary industry is relatively small. This indicates that Shandong Province needs some efforts to invest in scientific and technological information.Rational use of real estate and other financial applications to the region to promote industrial structure optimization.Finally, based on the spatial distribution of industrial barycenter difference in Shandong Province and the analysis results of the relationship between the leading industries, the following countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.First, we should vigorously develop superior industries.Strengthen the industrialization of modern agriculture; transform traditional industries and promote high-tech industries; cultivate leading enterprises and lead products.Second, develop green economy, optimize industrial environment.To construct green circular economy, to strengthen supervision, to take environmental regulation measures, to build green industrial commodity production base and demonstration development zone.
【学位授予单位】：聊城大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127

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