房地产产业属性及产业关联度研究

发布时间：2018-04-22 15:26

本文选题：房地产业 + 产业关联度　；参考：《重庆大学》2014年博士论文

【摘要】：房地产业不仅能带动相关产业的发展，还能提供就业机会、带动城市化，从而促进产业间的协调和稳定。房地产业的产业关联度揭示房地产业与其它产业的内在联系，表明房地产业为前向关联产业提供产品和服务，对后向关联产业的依赖程度以及对环向关联产业既提供产品和服务同时又对它们产生依赖，房地产业的波及效应表现为对社会经济的影响。首先描述房地产及房地产业含义、成长历程、发展概况和产业属性，提出产业关联及产业关联模型的含义，明确房地产业的关联特性，研究房地产业的产业关联度并选取东、中、西部的代表省市上海、湖北、重庆三个地区的房地产业进行分析比较，最后分析了房地产业的波及效应并提出相关政策建议。关于房地产业的产业关联度研究，分别对1997、2002、2007年房地产业的前向直接和完全关联产业、后向直接和完全关联产业、环向关联产业做了详尽的对比分析，得出我国房地产业的发展主要依托第三产业，逐渐脱离对重工业的依赖，且与其他产业的关联程度趋于平均水平，特别是与金融业的关联关系重要程度有所下降。同时，房地产业与其他产业多为双向关联关系，说明房地产业与其他产业的联系随着经济的发展而有所改变，同时还说明社会各产业间的联系变得紧密、深入，社会的发展需要各产业相互协调。关于房地产业关联度的地区比较，选取典型地区（东、中、西部）的房地产业作为研究对象，探讨房地产业对区域经济发展的带动作用，并对比分析房地产业关联度，从而剖析地区差异产生的原因。通过分析全国以及上海、湖北、重庆经济发展和房地产业的发展来说明我国不同地区房地产业的发展水平是不同的，不同地区房地产业的发展与经济发展存在着一定的关系，经济发展较快较好的地区，房地产业的发展也较好，经济发展滞后的地区，房地产业的发展也相对落后。关于房地产业的波及效应，选择房地产业对城市化的促进，借助计量经济软件Eviews6.0，分别对我国1994—2012年间的城市化率与商品房销售面积和房地产投资，从基本线性关系和VAR模型分析与协整检验两个角度进行了实证研究。研究表明，房地产业和城市化水平正处于不断上升阶段。通过对房地产投资增速和城市化率增速的实证研究发现，我国的房地产增长速度和城市化增长速度呈现出某种程度的相关性，且前者的增速快过后者的增速，两者之间显示出相互促进的因果关系。而商品房销售面积增长率与城市化率，二者保持相对稳定的上升趋势，且相关性显著。最后用就业产值系数分析房地产业的关联产业对社会就业的吸纳能力，同时通过计算就业产值弹性系数来分析房地产业间接带动的社会就业，，研究表明房地产业与全部行业都有着前后向关联关系，能通过其后向关联关系来拉动大部分产业就业，但对少数产业的就业有负面影响，且随着房地产业增加值的增长引起的就业增长不大。
[Abstract]:The real estate industry not only can drive the development of the relevant industries , but also provide employment opportunities and drive urbanization , thus promoting the coordination and stability among industries . The industry incidence degree of the real estate industry reveals the intrinsic relationship between the real estate industry and other industries , and indicates that the real estate industry provides products and services to the related industries before , and also provides products and services to the related industries . The wave and effect of the real estate industry is shown as the influence on the social economy .

This paper first describes the meaning of real estate and real estate industry , the development history , the development situation and the industry attribute , puts forward the meaning of industry association and industry association model , defines the relation degree of real estate industry , analyzes the industrial relation degree of real estate industry , analyzes the real estate industry in three areas of Shanghai , Hubei and Chongqing , and finally analyzes the wave and effect of real estate industry and puts forward relevant policy recommendations .

On the basis of the research on the industrial relation between real estate industry and real estate industry in 1997 , 2002 and 2007 respectively , this paper makes a detailed comparative analysis on the forward direct and complete related industries of real estate industry in 1997 , 2002 and 2007 , and concludes that the development of real estate industry depends on the tertiary industry gradually , and the relationship between real estate industry and other industries is more important . At the same time , the relationship between real estate industry and other industries is changed with the development of economy .

With respect to the area of real estate industry association , the real estate industry in the typical area ( East , Central and West ) is selected as the research object , and the influence of real estate industry on regional economic development is discussed , and the reason of regional difference is analyzed . Through analyzing the development of the real estate industry in China and Shanghai , Hubei and Chongqing , the paper illustrates the development of real estate industry in different areas and the development of real estate industry .

With regard to the wave and effect of real estate industry and the promotion of urbanization in real estate industry , the urbanization rate and real estate investment in China from 1994 to 2012 were studied by means of Eviews6.0 .

Finally , the employment value coefficient is used to analyze the absorbing ability of the real estate industry to the social employment . At the same time , the social employment driven by the real estate industry is analyzed by calculating the elastic coefficient of the output value of the employment . The research shows that the real estate industry has a front - back relationship with the whole industry , can pull most of the industry employment through the relation , but has a negative impact on the employment of the minority industries , and the employment growth caused by the increase of the real estate industry is not great .

【学位授予单位】：重庆大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.23

【参考文献】