高速铁路对沿线区域经济发展影响研究
发布时间：2018-11-07 20:23
【摘要】：我国工业化、城市化进程的不断加快,以及经济的发展、技术的进步和居民生活水平的提高,对交通运输业的发展提出了更高的要求。高速铁路作为交通运输体系中的骨干力量,在中国区域经济的发展中正发挥着日益重要的作用,对中国的区域经济格局和发展产生深刻的影响。本文尝试结合区域经济学、运输经济学以及统计学,来研究高速铁路对中国区域经济发展的影响。首先通过对高速铁路技术经济特性的分析,以及对高速铁路影响区域经济发展的主要因素的研究,将经济影响因素分为直接影响因素和间接影响因素,在此基础上借鉴主要运输经济与区域经济理论,研究高速铁路影响下区域经济效应,对主要的经济效应进行建模分析,并分析高速铁路与区域经济的关联作用理论,结合高速铁路自身的特点,建立经济影响预测模型。进而将预测模型运用到成绵乐高速铁路区域经济影响的预测研究中,收集成绵乐高速铁路沿线的区域经济特征和经济数据,通过建立“有-无”对比模型,以区域经济总量指标为衡量标准,对高速铁路建成前后的区域经济总量数据分别进行了预测,并进行了对比分析,结合对相关作用因素的定性分析,充分论证高速铁路建设给沿线区域经济发展带来的促进作用。
[Abstract]:The industrialization of our country, the acceleration of urbanization process, the development of economy, the progress of technology and the improvement of living standard of residents have put forward higher requirements for the development of transportation industry. As the backbone of the transportation system, the high-speed railway is playing an increasingly important role in the development of China's regional economy, which has a profound impact on the pattern and development of China's regional economy. This paper attempts to study the impact of high-speed railway on the development of regional economy in China by combining regional economics, transport economics and statistics. First of all, through the analysis of the technical and economic characteristics of high-speed railway and the study of the main factors that affect the regional economic development of high-speed railway, the economic influence factors are divided into direct factors and indirect factors. On this basis, using the theory of main transportation economy and regional economy for reference, the regional economic effect under the influence of high-speed railway is studied, the main economic effects are modeled and analyzed, and the theory of correlation between high-speed railway and regional economy is analyzed. According to the characteristics of high speed railway, the economic impact prediction model is established. Then the prediction model is applied to the prediction of the regional economic impact of Chengmianle high-speed railway, and the regional economic characteristics and economic data along Chengmianle high-speed railway are collected. Based on the index of regional economic aggregate, this paper forecasts the regional economic aggregate data before and after the completion of high-speed railway, and makes a comparative analysis, combining with the qualitative analysis of relevant factors. Fully demonstrate the high-speed railway construction along the economic development of the region brought about by the role of promotion.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F532;F127
本文编号：2317474
[Abstract]:The industrialization of our country, the acceleration of urbanization process, the development of economy, the progress of technology and the improvement of living standard of residents have put forward higher requirements for the development of transportation industry. As the backbone of the transportation system, the high-speed railway is playing an increasingly important role in the development of China's regional economy, which has a profound impact on the pattern and development of China's regional economy. This paper attempts to study the impact of high-speed railway on the development of regional economy in China by combining regional economics, transport economics and statistics. First of all, through the analysis of the technical and economic characteristics of high-speed railway and the study of the main factors that affect the regional economic development of high-speed railway, the economic influence factors are divided into direct factors and indirect factors. On this basis, using the theory of main transportation economy and regional economy for reference, the regional economic effect under the influence of high-speed railway is studied, the main economic effects are modeled and analyzed, and the theory of correlation between high-speed railway and regional economy is analyzed. According to the characteristics of high speed railway, the economic impact prediction model is established. Then the prediction model is applied to the prediction of the regional economic impact of Chengmianle high-speed railway, and the regional economic characteristics and economic data along Chengmianle high-speed railway are collected. Based on the index of regional economic aggregate, this paper forecasts the regional economic aggregate data before and after the completion of high-speed railway, and makes a comparative analysis, combining with the qualitative analysis of relevant factors. Fully demonstrate the high-speed railway construction along the economic development of the region brought about by the role of promotion.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F532;F127
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本文编号：2317474
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