我国省际煤炭资源流动空间格局演化研究

发布时间：2018-11-08 19:27

【摘要】：以煤为主的能源结构决定了煤炭资源是我国经济持续发展、社会生活稳定进行的重要保证。我国正处于工业化、城市化、现代化快速发展阶段,能源消费结构问题日益凸显,煤炭资源大规模、广范围的流动中产生的社会、经济、环境效应受到越来越多的重视。近来,随着一些煤矿资源的枯竭、交通运输的发展、经济重心的转移以及可持续发展战略的落实,煤炭资源流动研究成为资源流动研究领域的热点问题。本文以我国各省区为研究单元,分析了1980-2011年煤炭资源流动的空间格局演化。首先,从煤炭资源流动的流量和流动地区两个角度分析了煤炭资源流动基本格局的变化,结果表明我国煤炭资源流动的位序-规模分布符合齐夫法则,并分别分析了煤炭输出量和输入量规模分布的空间形态变化情况；煤炭资源源地系统、汇地系统分布变化不大,而交流地系统分布范围分散,范围变动较大。然后,运用数理统计学和空间统计学方法从差异性、集聚性、不平衡性等角度,分析了我国省际煤炭资源空间格局演化的特征：运用差异度指标分析表明煤炭资源流动绝对差异是扩大的,但相对差异不太明显；运用空间自相关模型分析表明煤炭资源输出和输入均存在较为显著的空间自相关,煤炭资源流动存在明显的空间异质性。运用重心模型分析表明煤炭资源流动重心均偏离几何中心,并具体分析了其偏移情况。基于以上分析,探讨了影响我国省际煤炭资源流动空间格局演化的因素：区域间煤炭资源供需不平衡、运输通道的建设、煤炭地区差价、区域经济结构差异。继而提出了煤炭资源流动空间格局的优化对策：优化我国能源发展布局、促进煤炭生产重心西迁、构建现代综合煤炭运输体系、合理调整产业结构、健全煤炭资源政策。
[Abstract]:The coal resource is an important guarantee for the sustainable development of economy and the stability of social life. China is in the stage of industrialization, urbanization and rapid development of modernization. The problem of energy consumption structure is becoming increasingly prominent. The social, economic and environmental effects of large-scale coal resources and wide range of flow have been paid more and more attention. Recently, with the depletion of some coal resources, the development of transportation, the shift of economic center of gravity and the implementation of sustainable development strategy, the research of coal resource flow has become a hot issue in the field of resource flow research. In this paper, the spatial pattern evolution of coal resource flow from 1980 to 2011 is analyzed. Firstly, this paper analyzes the change of the basic pattern of coal resource flow from two aspects: the flow of coal resources and the flowing area. The results show that the distribution of position order and scale of coal resource flow in China accords with the Zeef rule. The spatial morphological changes of the size distribution of coal output and input are analyzed respectively. In coal resource source system, the distribution of sink system is not changed much, but the distribution range of AC land system is scattered. Then, using mathematical statistics and spatial statistics, from the point of view of difference, agglomeration, imbalance and so on, The characteristics of spatial pattern evolution of coal resources among provinces in China are analyzed. The analysis of difference index shows that the absolute difference of coal resource flow is enlarged, but the relative difference is not obvious. The spatial autocorrelation model analysis shows that there is significant spatial autocorrelation between the output and input of coal resources, and there is obvious spatial heterogeneity in coal resource flow. The barycenter model analysis shows that the barycenter of coal resource flow deviates from the geometric center, and its migration is analyzed in detail. Based on the above analysis, the factors influencing the evolution of the spatial pattern of coal resource flow among provinces in China are discussed, such as the imbalance between the supply and demand of coal resources among regions, the construction of transportation channels, the difference of regional coal price and the difference of regional economic structure. Then it puts forward the optimized countermeasures of the spatial pattern of coal resources flowing: optimizing the distribution of energy development, promoting the shift of coal production center to the west, constructing modern comprehensive coal transportation system, rationally adjusting the industrial structure, and perfecting the coal resources policy.
【学位授予单位】：南京师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.21

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