轨道交通开通对住宅价格的影响

发布时间：2018-01-02 13:10

本文关键词：轨道交通开通对住宅价格的影响　出处：《土木工程与管理学报》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：鉴于轨道交通开通后对住宅价格影响的研究较少且存在争议。因此,本文以对房价影响充分的重庆轨道交通3号线为例,收集27个住宅小区20092015年的季度数据,实证分析轨道交通开通对住宅价格的影响。研究结果表明:采用特征价格模型和双重差分模型,剔除住宅自身、住宅邻里、住宅区位和住宅市场4个方面因素的影响,较好地量化了轨道交通开通对沿线住宅价格的影响;轨道交通开通对沿线住宅价格有显著的正向影响,但在轨道交通开通3年时间里对住宅价格影响的增值幅度仅为3.62%,远小于规划或建设期的预期利好。研究结论可为消费者购房、轨道交通投资和房地产开发提供参考。
[Abstract]:In view of the fact that there is little research on the impact of rail transit on housing price after the opening of rail transit, this paper takes Chongqing Rail Transit Line 3, which has a full impact on housing prices, as an example. This paper collects the quarterly data of 27 residential areas from 2009 to 2015, and empirically analyzes the impact of rail transit on housing prices. The results show that the characteristic price model and the double differential model are adopted. Excluding the influence of housing itself, residential neighborhood, residential housing location and housing market, the impact of rail transit opening on housing prices along the line is well quantified. The opening of rail transit has a significant positive impact on housing prices along the line, but in the three years after the opening of rail transit, the value added range of the impact on housing prices is only 3.62%. The conclusion of the study can be used as a reference for consumers to purchase housing, rail transit investment and real estate development.
【作者单位】：重庆第二师范学院旅游与服务管理系;同济大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：重庆市教委科学技术研究项目(KJ1501410)
【分类号】：F299.23;F572.88
【正文快照】： “轨道开通=房价暴涨”,这是近两年不少楼盘打出的广告语,也有购房者感叹轨道交通开通对房价没有影响。当想象中的方便和快捷真正到了眼前,轨道交通开通后沿线房价究竟是涨,还是不涨?梳理以往房价发现有两种情况,一种情况是轨道交通开通后房价出现明显上涨,如北京市2014年年底

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