环渤海地区区位因素对台商投资影响的实证分析

发布时间：2018-05-12 08:28

本文选题：台商投资 + 环渤海地区　；参考：《海南大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着2010海峡两岸经济合作框架协议(ECFA)签署以及2012年十一届全国人大会议上商务部部长陈德铭提出一系列的降税优惠政策以来,台商对大陆市场普遍报积极态度,目前,大陆成已经取代美国成为台湾第一大的贸易合作伙伴和最大出口贸易地,台商作为两岸经济交流的桥梁,推动两岸直接“三通”、加快经济结构的调整和升级,促进两岸互利共赢。而环渤海地区正以京津冀北地区为代表加速崛起,成为继珠三角和长三角之后第三个国家级战略规划区域,有望在2014年左右成为中国经济板块中甚至东北亚地区都极具影响力的经济隆起地带。据“香港贸易发展局”2011年在台湾进行的问卷调查显示,有超过50%受调查的台商会在未来3-5年开始加大大陆投资力度,扩充大陆业务；有29%的台商将投资市场瞄准环渤海地区,台商投资北移趋势日益突显。本文就是在此背景下对影响台商赴环渤海地区投资的区位因素进行实证分析,并提出未来环渤海地区吸收和优化台商投资的政策建议。本文共由五个部分：第一部分,交代了文章的研究背景和意义、框架思路、研究方法、可能的创新之处与不足。第二部分,对直接投资理论与区位选择理论文献进行了简要的回顾、评述和整合。第三部分概况了环渤海地区整体经济发展、台商赴环渤海地区投资历程、特点及产业结构。第四部分利用PANEL DATA回归模型对影响台商赴环渤海地区投资的六大构面的区位因素进行实证分析,并通过共线性检验和F检验删除共线性区位变量,结果发现(1)环渤海地区各区位变量会影响不同期数(当期、落后一期、落后二期)的台商投资额；(2)环渤海地区滞后期的基础建设、聚集经济、政府职能三大构面对台商投资有显著影响；(3)环渤海地区当期成本因素与滞后期成本因素对台商投资有不同方向的影响。第五部分,总结了本研究的主要结论,提出未来环渤海地区吸收和优化台商投资的政策建议,并指出本文的研究不足和未来的研究方向。
[Abstract]:With the signing of the 2010 Framework Agreement on Economic Cooperation between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait and the adoption of a series of preferential tax reduction policies by Commerce Minister Chen Deming at the 11th National people's Congress in 2012, Taiwan businessmen have generally reported a positive attitude towards the mainland market. At present, The mainland has replaced the United States as Taiwan's largest trading partner and largest export trading place. As a bridge for cross-strait economic exchanges, Taiwan businessmen have promoted the direct "three links" between the two sides of the strait and accelerated the adjustment and upgrading of the economic structure. We will promote mutual benefit and win-win cooperation between the two sides. And the Bohai Rim region is taking the north of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei as the representative to accelerate its rise, becoming the third state-level strategic planning area after the Pearl River Delta and the Yangtze River Delta. It is expected to become a powerful economic uplift in China's economic sector, even in Northeast Asia, around 2014. According to a survey conducted by the "Hong Kong Trade Development Council" in Taiwan in 2011, more than 50 percent of the Taiwanese chambers of commerce surveyed began to increase investment in the mainland in the next 3-5 years and expand their business in the mainland; 29 percent of Taiwanese businessmen targeted the investment market around the Bohai Sea region. The trend of Taiwanese investment moving northward is increasingly prominent. In this context, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the location factors that affect the investment of Taiwanese businessmen in the Bohai Rim region, and puts forward some policy suggestions for absorbing and optimizing the investment of Taiwanese businessmen in the Bohai Rim region in the future. This paper consists of five parts: the first part explains the research background and significance, frame ideas, research methods, possible innovations and shortcomings. The second part briefly reviews, comments and integrates the theory of direct investment and location choice. The third part gives an overview of the overall economic development of the Bohai Rim region, the history, characteristics and industrial structure of Taiwanese investment in the Bohai Rim region. In the fourth part, we use PANEL DATA regression model to analyze the location factors that affect the investment of Taiwan businessmen in Bohai Sea, and delete the collinear location variables by collinearity test and F test. The results show that (1) the regional variables around the Bohai Sea will affect the investment of Taiwanese businessmen in different periods (current, backward, second) the delayed infrastructure construction and agglomeration economy in the Bohai Rim. The three major functions of the government have a significant impact on the investment of Taiwan businessmen. (3) the current cost factor and the lag cost factor have different influences on the investment of Taiwan businessmen in the Bohai Sea region. In the fifth part, the main conclusions of this study are summarized, and the policy suggestions of absorbing and optimizing the investment of Taiwanese businessmen in the Bohai Sea region are put forward, and the deficiency of this study and the future research direction are pointed out.
【学位授予单位】：海南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127

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