面向中小投资者的证券市场趋势投资策略研究

发布时间：2018-08-03 09:31

【摘要】：改革开放以来,随着我国市场经济的深入发展和人们理财观念的逐步增强,证券作为一种投资工具,已经越来越深入人心。到目前为止,证券已经成为社会大众的一种普遍投资方式。在中国A股市场,中小投资者占了投资者的绝大多数,是市场活跃资金的主要来源。然而很多年来中小投资者的平均收益率普遍较低,许多个人投资者在证券市场不但赚不到钱反而长期亏损。究其原因,主要还是对证券市场研究得不够深入,一致投资买卖时的判断和决策出现了偏差。一些中小投资者风闻证券市场赚钱蜂拥而来,但对这个市场的了解也只是囫囵吞枣,基本上都是凭自己感觉来进行买卖操作,根本就没有自己的投资策略可言。所以,加强中小投资者投资策略的研究对培养和发展我国证券市场理性投资主体有着重大意义。世界各国的投资理念和方法有很多,但根据本人多年对证券市场的研究,本人认为趋势投资策略具有非常高的实战价值,所以本论文将以趋势投资策略展开详细讨论。本论文首先概述了趋势投资策略的两大经典理论——道氏理论和波浪理论。主要介绍了道氏理论的三种运动、两种平均价格指数必须相互确认、趋势判断、波浪理论的基本结构及各浪特点,波浪的交替原则等内容。这两大经典理论,是技术分析流派的基石,后世很多技术分析方法都是从这两大理论发展而来。其次,本论文详细研究和讲述了适合中小投资者趋势投资策略的最新成果——缠中说禅理论。主要介绍了缠中说禅的形态学和动力学理论,在此基础上,以文字描述与图片示意的方式,简单明了的给出了四类买点和三类卖点。缠中说禅理论不仅包含了道氏理论和波浪理论的核心要素,还将两大趋势投资策略的基础理论进行了简化,真正解决了趋势投资策略在“用”上面的问题,是真正适合中小投资者趋势投资策略的实用理论。此外,本论文基于缠中说禅理论详细分析了贵州茅台(600519)、科恒股份(300340)和名家汇(300506)等实战案例。这些实战案例分析涵盖了缠中说禅理论几乎所有形态学和有动力学的内容,明确给出四类买点和三类卖点,并且详细讲述了各买卖点的定位方式,同时也结合了本人的一些投资经验,对中小投资者来说有着非常实用的实战指导意义。最后,对全文进行总结,并提出让更多的人知道缠中说禅的展望。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, with the further development of market economy and the gradual enhancement of people's concept of financial management, securities, as an investment tool, have become more and more popular. So far, securities have become a popular investment way of the public. In China's A-share market, small and medium-sized investors account for the vast majority of investors, is the main source of active funds in the market. For many years, however, the average yield of small and medium-sized investors has been generally low, and many individual investors have made long-term losses instead of making money in the securities market. The main reason is that the stock market is not deeply studied, and the judgment and decision of uniform investment are deviated. Some small and medium-sized investors have heard that the securities market has made a lot of money, but the understanding of this market is also a matter of gulping down, basically all trading operations are based on their own feelings, and there is no investment strategy of their own at all. Therefore, it is of great significance to strengthen the research on the investment strategies of small and medium investors in order to cultivate and develop the rational investors in our securities market. There are many investment ideas and methods all over the world, but according to my many years of research on the stock market, I think that the trend investment strategy has a very high practical value, so this paper will discuss the trend investment strategy in detail. In this paper, two classical theories of trend investment strategy, Dow Theory and Wave Theory, are summarized. This paper mainly introduces three kinds of movement of Dow's theory, the two kinds of average price index must confirm each other, the trend judgment, the basic structure of wave theory and the characteristic of each wave, the principle of wave alternation, etc. These two classical theories are the cornerstone of the school of technical analysis. Secondly, this paper studies and narrates the latest achievement of the trend investment strategy of small and medium investors in detail-the theory of Zen theory. This paper mainly introduces the morphology and dynamics theory of Zen in the theory of entanglement. On the basis of this, four kinds of buying points and three kinds of selling points are given simply and clearly by the way of text description and picture. The theory of Zen not only contains the core elements of Taoist theory and wave theory, but also simplifies the basic theories of the two major trend investment strategies, thus solving the problem of "using" trend investment strategies. Is really suitable for small and medium investors trend investment strategy practical theory. In addition, based on the theory of Zen theory, this paper analyzes in detail the practical cases of Mao Tai (600519), Keheng shares (300340) and famous family Hui (300506) in Guizhou. These case studies cover almost all the morphological and dynamic aspects of the Zen theory, clearly giving four types of points of purchase and three types of selling points, and describing in detail the location of each point of purchase and sale. At the same time, I also combined some of my investment experience, for small investors have a very practical guiding significance. Finally, the paper summarizes the full text and proposes to let more people know the outlook of Zen.
【学位授予单位】：湘潭大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F832.51

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