动态博弈下引导企业低碳技术创新的政府低碳规制研究

发布时间：2017-12-27 22:05

本文关键词：动态博弈下引导企业低碳技术创新的政府低碳规制研究　出处：《中国管理科学》2016年12期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：低碳技术创新是解决高排放的重要手段,本文首先针对低碳技术创新复杂系统进行分析,根据政企双方在不同时期、不同阶段的博弈状态和博弈形成机理,建立了动态赋时博弈模型,分析了政府的决策做出对企业低碳技术创新系统性能指标的时间量特性影响。政企在低碳技术创新行为决策博弈中,某一时段的目标函数取决于当前双方的博弈状态和前一时段演进过程中博弈结果。然后,建立了动态博弈下的企业目标决策模型和动态博弈下政府目标决策模型,以利润最大化来组织生产的企业,政府的低碳规制会直接影响企业低碳技术创新决策行为,政府的低碳经济与环境保护责任目标要求企业的单位排放量的销售额是稳定增加的,或者单位销售额的排放量的稳定下降,这就要求不断地进行低碳技术创新。最后,给出了双重集成引导低碳规制的路径选择方法,并以安徽省部分调研企业数据为例进行了仿真应用验证,验证结果表明所设计的低碳规制路径的合理性,为低碳环境下政府制定合适的引导企业低碳技术创新政策规制提供了科学的参考依据。
[Abstract]:Low carbon technology innovation is an important means to solve the high emissions, aiming at the low carbon technology innovation complex system is analyzed, according to the formation mechanism of both the government and enterprises in the game state in different phases, and game theory, establish a dynamic timed game model, analyzes the government's decision to make the performance of enterprise technology innovation of low carbon the amount of time effect. In the decision-making game of low carbon technology innovation behavior, the objective function of a certain period depends on the game state of the two sides and the result of the game in the previous period. Then, set up a government decision model of enterprise decision model and dynamic game under the dynamic game, to maximize the profit to the organization of production enterprises, low carbon government regulation will directly affect the enterprise's low carbon technological innovation decision-making behavior, the requirements of the government's low carbon economy and environmental protection responsibility unit emissions of enterprises sales are steadily increasing, emissions or the steady decline in unit sales, which requires constantly low carbon technology innovation. Finally, given the path selection method of double integration guide low carbon regulation, and the data part of the research enterprise in Anhui Province as an example for simulation application. The results verify the rationality of low carbon regulation path showed that the designed, provides scientific basis for the government to develop low-carbon environment suitable to guide enterprises in low carbon technology innovation policy.
【作者单位】：安徽工程大学;合肥工业大学;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71171002) 安徽省自然科学基金(1308085MG108) 安徽省教育厅重点项目(KJ2015A303) 中国博士后基金项目(2013M541826) 安徽工程大学国家基金预研项目(zryy1312)
【分类号】：F273.1
【正文快照】： 1引言随着全球气候环境的变化,低碳经济一直以来都是理论界和实践者关注的课题,中国政府承诺到2020年单位GDP碳排放比2005年下降40%至45%。10年已经快要过去了,剩下的5年时间里,任重道远。能否实现这一宏伟目标,关乎我国政府在国际社会的形象。更为重要的是GDP碳排放持续稳定

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