网络经济环境下企业网络风险传播的SIR模型及其仿真

发布时间：2018-04-01 11:17

本文选题：网络经济　切入点：企业网络　出处：《经济问题》2017年02期

【摘要】：在分析网络经济环境下风险更具传导性的基础上,选择企业网络为研究对象,考虑到网络各个结点由于外部交易信息的不确定和内部资金、技术、人力等因素相互影响所导致的危机在网络中的传播行为,推导出企业网络风险传播的SIR模型,并运用系统动力学模型对传播过程进行仿真分析。研究表明:当网络中的结点出现故障时,风险在网络中迅速传播,与其利益相关的企业会迅速受到影响,网络内企业表现出一定的脆弱性。但随着企业自我调节意识和改善能力的不断提高,网络整体的风险感染力呈下降趋势,经过一系列消化、吸收、演变,网络又重新进入一个新的状态。
[Abstract]:Based on the analysis of the more transmissible risks in the network economy environment, the enterprise network is chosen as the research object. Considering the uncertainty of the external transaction information and the internal funds, the technology of each node in the network is considered.The communication behavior of the crisis caused by the interaction of manpower and other factors in the network, the SIR model of enterprise network risk propagation is deduced, and the simulation analysis of the communication process is carried out by using the system dynamics model.The research shows that when the node in the network fails, the risk spreads rapidly in the network, and the enterprises concerned with its interests will be affected quickly, and the enterprises in the network will show certain vulnerability.However, with the continuous improvement of self-regulation consciousness and improvement ability of enterprises, the overall risk appeal of the network shows a downward trend, after a series of digestion, absorption, evolution, the network again into a new state.
【作者单位】：山西财经大学;山西大学商务学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学规划项目(16YJA630047) 山西省高校创新团队支持计划项目(OIT) 山西省研究生教育创新项目(晋教研函【2016】4号)
【分类号】：F272

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