FDI对我国高技术产业创新产出影响的门槛效应研究

发布时间：2018-04-02 01:18

本文选题：FDI　切入点：高技术产业　出处：《东华大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：在新一轮技术革命和产业变革兴起的背景下,各国政府纷纷将战略重点转向“创新战略”与“制造业回归战略”。德国和美国自2013年相继制定了“德国工业4.0”和“美国国家创新战略”,我国也于2015年起大力实施“中国制造2025”,以进一步促进本国的科技创新,力求在高技术产业等领域取得更大的进步和突破。可见,各国在未来几年都将更加重视本国技术的提升,实现高技术产业的新突破。经过长期发展,我国高技术产业已经迎来了一个新的“黄金时代”。自“十二五”以来,尽管内资企业所占比重进一步提高,但三资企业在我国高技术产业仍占据明显优势。那么考察如何利用好高技术产业吸收的大量FDI来提高本地企业的创新能力,创造更高的创新产出,研究存在哪些因素会对高技术产业这一特殊产业的FDI技术溢出效应产生影响就具有重要的现实意义。众多学者对此进行考察研究,但并未得出一致的结论,本文借鉴部分学者“门槛效应”角度,以非线性的角度,考察影响该产业FDI技术溢出效应的因素,并确定其是否具有门槛效应。本文以包含“门槛效应”的新知识生产函数,利用2007-2012年30个省份高技术产业的面板数据,考察FDI影响我国高技术企业的创新产出的研发资金投入门槛效应和研发人员投入门槛效应。首先在Hansen非动态面板门槛模型的基础上分别构建研发资金投入和研发人员投入的门槛回归模型,之后采用自抽样法检验门槛个数和门槛估计值,同时用似然比统计量确定所得门槛值是否为真实值,并依据门槛值测算回归模型各系数指标,得出高技术产业这一特定领域中门槛效应对FDI对本地企业创新产出的影响。另外,为保证回归结果的可靠性,采用交互项检验的方法对估计结果进行稳健性检验。研究结果表明,研发资金投入和研发人员投入分别具有单门槛效应和三门槛效应:在研发资金低投入的省份,FDI对高技术企业的创新产出产生的影响是负向的,在研发资金高投入的省份,FDI对创新产出有正向影响。而在研发人员投入上,高技术产业企业必须跨过第二个门槛值才能使FDI发挥促进创新产出的作用,并且,达到第三个门槛值后这种技术溢出效应将会更加显著。最后,基于本文的理论分析和实证过程提出对应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Against the background of a new round of technological revolution and the rise of industrial transformation, The governments of all countries have shifted their strategic emphasis to "innovation strategy" and "manufacturing industry return strategy". Germany and the United States have formulated "German Industry 4.0" and "American National Innovation Strategy" since 2013, and China has also vigorously implemented them since 2015. "made in China 2025" to further promote scientific and technological innovation in China, Strive to make greater progress and breakthroughs in high-tech industries and other fields. It can be seen that in the next few years, all countries will pay more attention to the upgrading of their own technology and realize new breakthroughs in high-tech industries. After a long period of development, China's high-tech industry has ushered in a new "golden age". Since the 12th Five-Year Plan, although the proportion of domestic enterprises has further increased, But foreign-funded enterprises still have a clear advantage in China's high-tech industries. Well, how to make good use of the large amount of FDI absorbed by high-tech industries to improve the innovation ability of local enterprises and create higher innovative output, It is of great practical significance to study which factors will affect the FDI technology spillover effect of high-tech industry, a special industry. Many scholars have studied this issue, but have not come to a unanimous conclusion. Based on some scholars'"threshold effect" and nonlinear angle, this paper investigates the factors that affect the spillover effect of FDI technology in this industry, and determines whether it has threshold effect or not. In this paper, a new knowledge production function including "threshold effect" is proposed. Using panel data on high-tech industries in 30 provinces for the period 2007-2012, The threshold effect of R & D capital input and R & D personnel input threshold effect of FDI influencing the innovation output of high-tech enterprises in China is investigated. Firstly, the R D investment and R D investment are constructed based on the non-dynamic panel threshold model of Hansen, respectively. Threshold regression model for personnel input, Then the self-sampling method is used to test the threshold number and the threshold estimate. At the same time, the likelihood ratio statistics are used to determine whether the threshold is true or not, and the coefficients of the regression model are calculated according to the threshold. In order to ensure the reliability of regression results, the threshold effect of FDI on the innovation output of local enterprises is obtained. The method of cross term test is used to test the robustness of the estimation results. Research and development investment and R & D personnel investment have single threshold effect and three threshold effect respectively: in the provinces with low R & D investment, FDI has a negative impact on the innovation output of high-tech enterprises. In provinces with high R & D investment, FDI has a positive impact on innovation output. In R & D personnel input, high-tech industry enterprises must cross the second threshold to enable FDI to play the role of promoting innovation output, and, After reaching the third threshold, this technology spillover effect will be more significant. Finally, based on the theoretical analysis and empirical process of this paper, the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：东华大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F832.6;F276.44

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