朔州市商品住宅市场发展趋势分析

发布时间：2018-05-17 05:12

本文选题：朔州市 + 商品住宅市场　；参考：《山西财经大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来，国内大多数城市和地区的房价上涨速度过快、投资过热，房价涨幅远远超过国内生产总值和居民收入增长速度，严重超出了广大居民的购房能力，而房地产调控政策不完善、调控政策不落实，更引发了强烈的社会矛盾和公众不满。直到2010年中央出台严厉的楼市限购令，商品住宅整体需求被冻结，价格开始回稳。在这样的背景下，作为三线城市的朔州商品住宅市场现在发展状况如何，未来发展的趋势是什么，都关系到朔州市商品住宅业能否健康持续发展，也成为困扰当地市政府、房地产开发商及老百姓的一个重要问题。在全国商品住宅调控的大背景下，通过对朔州市商品住宅市场的发展现状进行分析，以商品住宅供给和需求为主线，以房价为供需矛盾的信号，详细深入研究商品住宅开发投资、住宅开发规模等住宅供给情况和住宅销售面积、住宅销售额等需求状况及其影响因素的分析，发现朔州市商品住宅市场需求大于供给的失衡问题。通过一系列商品住宅现状的分析，提出了朔州市商品住宅市场发展面临的主要问题：多种因素抑制了需求，造成空置面积快速增长；规划和管理滞后导致住宅市场非均衡；企业的逐利性造成供给的户型结构矛盾；居民住房消费观念误区造成住房支出增加。并采用统计分析和理论与实践相结合的方法，对未来六年内商品住宅供给、需求、价格进行预测。与朔州市“十二五”规划进行对比，展望朔州市未来商品住宅市场发展走势，在宏观环境稳定的情况下，，城镇化继续推进，商品住宅发展处于增长中期，住宅需求旺盛，供给不足。为使朔州市商品住宅健康发展，政府应该充分发挥政府的调控和监管职能：合理优化商品住宅市场调整结构，增加中小套型建设；规范商品住宅市场秩序，建立完善的法规体系；合理引导消费，建立商品住宅信息公开透明平台。引导消费者树立正确的消费观角度：切实选择住房面积，建立科学的住房观念。不断提高企业开发能力：改变单一的开发理念，增加商品房科技含量，树立品牌意识。
[Abstract]:In recent years, housing prices in most cities and regions in China have risen too fast, overheated investment, and house prices have increased far more than the growth rate of gross domestic product and residents' income, which seriously exceeded the ability of the vast number of residents to buy houses. But the real estate regulation policy is not perfect, the regulation policy does not carry out, has caused the intense social contradiction and the public dissatisfaction. Until 2010, when the central government imposed tough housing purchase restrictions, overall demand for commodity housing was frozen and prices began to stabilise. Against this background, what is the current development situation of Shuozhou commodity housing market as a third-tier city, and what the future development trend is, are related to whether the commodity housing industry in Shuozhou City can develop healthily and sustainably, and it has also become a problem for the local government. Real estate developers and ordinary people an important issue. Under the background of the national commodity housing regulation and control, through the analysis of the development situation of Shuozhou commodity housing market, taking the commodity housing supply and demand as the main line, taking the housing price as the signal of the contradiction between supply and demand, Detailed and in-depth study of the commercial housing development investment, residential development scale and other housing supply and residential sales area, residential sales and other demand conditions and their impact factors analysis, Found Shuozhou commodity housing market demand is larger than the imbalance of supply. Based on the analysis of the present situation of commercial housing, this paper puts forward the main problems facing the development of commodity housing market in Shuozhou: a variety of factors restrain the demand, which results in the rapid growth of vacant area, and the lag of planning and management leads to the disequilibrium of the housing market. The profit-driven nature of the enterprise leads to the contradiction of the household structure of supply, and the misconception of residents' housing consumption leads to the increase of housing expenditure. By using the method of statistical analysis and theory and practice, this paper predicts the supply, demand and price of commercial housing in the next six years. In contrast with the "12th Five-Year Plan" of Shuozhou City, we look forward to the future development trend of the commodity housing market in Shuozhou City. Under the condition of stable macro environment, urbanization continues to advance, the development of commercial housing is in the middle of growth, and the housing demand is exuberant. Supply is insufficient. In order to ensure the healthy development of commercial housing in Shuozhou City, the government should give full play to the functions of government regulation and supervision: rationally optimizing the adjustment structure of commodity housing market, increasing the construction of medium and small scale, standardizing the order of commercial housing market, Establish a sound legal system, reasonably guide consumption, and establish a transparent information platform for commercial housing. Guide the consumer to set up the correct view of consumption: to choose the housing area and to establish the scientific concept of housing. Constantly improve the enterprise development capacity: change the single concept of development, increase the scientific and technological content of commercial housing, establish brand awareness.
【学位授予单位】：山西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F299.233.5

【参考文献】