日本FTA战略研究

发布时间：2018-03-11 05:37

本文选题：日本　切入点：FTA　出处：《南开大学》2014年博士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：20世纪90年代以来,随着全球经济环境和各国发展战略的变化,区域经济一体化呈现加速态势。日本在实施FTA战略上起步比较晚,但是发展速度很快。截止到2013年12月,日本已经陆续和13个国家或地区签署了FTA,并有多个FTA正在谈判和研究之中。日本的FTA战略经过十多年的发展日臻完善,近年来日本对构建FTA网络提出了更高的目标,即推进构建与世界主要贸易伙伴国之间的高质量FTA。日本正在谈判中的FTA包括了在亚太地区备受瞩目的三个广域FTA,即跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(TPP)、区域全面经济伙伴关系协定(RCEP)和中日韩FTA,日本与欧盟的FTA谈判也在同时推进,与澳大利亚的FTA已初步达成一致,日本“FTA经济领土”呈现出急速扩展的趋势。在上述背景之下,有必要深入分析日本的FTA战略、效果及今后的发展趋势,以便为我国制定对日经济合作政策以及国际区域经济一体化政策提供参考。本文在回顾区域经济一体化相关理论的基础上,梳理了利用经济效应分析和政治经济分析两种研究方法研究日本FTA战略的相关文献。然后通过分析日本政府发布的相关文件,整理和概括了日本FTA战略从被动到主动,从模糊到清晰的发展进程。并对日本已签署FTA的具体领域和内容进行了比较研究,总结了日本FTA战略的特点。对日本FTA内容的比较研究是本文的创新之处。此外,本文还对日本FTA战略进行了经济效应分析。首先通过日本的贸易和投资等数据的比较分析了生效时间较长的六个FTA、即日本与新加坡、墨西哥、马来西亚、智利、泰国和印度尼西亚的FTA的实施效果。六个FTA的实施扩大了日本企业在六国的出口,特别是汽车和机械类商品的出口。同时改善了通商环境,增加了日本在各国的直接投资。为了验证上述分析结果,利用引力模型对六个FTA的贸易效应进行了实证分析。从回归结果来看,日本FTA的贸易创造效应明显,贸易转移效应都不太显著。接下来从政治经济学的角度剖析了日本在全球区域经济一体化浪潮中没有立即转变贸易政策的原因,日本FTA战略的推进过程中不同利益集团间的博弈过程,以及日本将东亚地区作为其推进FTA战略的重点的原因。最后总结了本文的研究结论和今后的研究方向,并提出了面对日本咄咄逼人的FTA战略我国应采取的措施。
[Abstract]:Since 1990s, with the changes of the global economic environment and the development strategies of various countries, regional economic integration has shown an accelerated trend. Japan started relatively late in implementing the FTA strategy, but the development rate was very fast. As of December 2013, Japan has signed FTAs with 13 countries or regions one after another, and many FTA are under negotiation and research. Japan's FTA strategy has been improving after more than a decade of development. In recent years, Japan has put forward a higher goal to build a FTA network. Japan's ongoing negotiations include three wide-area FTAs in the Asia-Pacific region, namely, the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPA), the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (REAP). RCEP) and the FTAs between China, Japan and South Korea. The FTA talks between Japan and the EU are also advancing at the same time. It has been preliminarily agreed with FTA of Australia that Japan's "FTA economic territory" is showing a trend of rapid expansion. Under the above background, it is necessary to analyze Japan's FTA strategy, effect and future development trend. In order to provide reference for our country to formulate the policy of economic cooperation with Japan and the policy of international regional economic integration. On the basis of reviewing the relevant theories of regional economic integration, this paper combs the relevant literature on Japanese FTA strategy by using economic effect analysis and political and economic analysis, and then analyzes the relevant documents issued by the Japanese government. This paper summarizes the development process of Japan's FTA strategy from passive to active, from fuzzy to clear, and makes a comparative study on the specific fields and contents of Japan's signed FTA. This paper summarizes the characteristics of Japanese FTA strategy. The comparative study of Japanese FTA content is the innovation of this paper. In addition, this paper also analyzes the economic effects of Japan's FTA strategy. Firstly, through the comparative analysis of Japan's trade and investment data, this paper analyzes six FTAs with a longer effective time, namely, Japan and Singapore, Mexico, Malaysia, Chile, etc. The effect of FTA implementation in Thailand and Indonesia. The implementation of six FTA has expanded the exports of Japanese enterprises in the six countries, especially for automobile and mechanical goods. At the same time, it has improved the trade environment. In order to verify the above analysis results, the trade effects of six FTA are empirically analyzed by using gravity model. From the regression results, the trade creation effect of Japanese FTA is obvious. The effect of trade transfer is not very significant. From the perspective of political economy, this paper analyzes the reasons why Japan did not immediately change its trade policy in the wave of global regional economic integration. The game process among different interest groups in the process of advancing the FTA strategy of Japan, and the reason why Japan regards East Asia as the key point of advancing the FTA strategy. Finally, this paper summarizes the research conclusions and future research directions, and puts forward the measures to be taken in China in the face of Japan's aggressive FTA strategy.
【学位授予单位】：南开大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F744;F753.13

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