货币依赖与人民币离岸市场的战略支点选择

发布时间：2018-03-31 06:32

本文选题：货币依赖　切入点：人民币离岸市场　出处：《世界经济与政治》2017年03期

【摘要】：在金融资本全球化的国际垄断资本主义时代,货币权力是主导权力,通过培育目标国对母国的货币依赖,母国可以获取与其政治经济实力相适应的货币权力。货币依赖取决于全球经济的主要状况、母国及目标国之间的经济政治不对称关系。人民币国际化的现实路径是通过选择人民币离岸市场的战略支点,培育对人民币的货币依赖,逐步脱离美元霸权。作者分别从战略资源、政府独立性、国家金融力量三个方面衡量目标国(地区)抗衡美国的实力基础,从政治外交关系、货币金融关系两个方面衡量目标国(地区)与中国的双边关系,设计了16个具体指标,编制了人民币离岸市场战略支点指数(ROMSSI),对人民币离岸市场的全球战略布局进行定量分析。分析结果认为,英国是全球目前最具优势的人民币离岸市场目标国,中国完全可以利用英国强大的金融优势、敏锐的竞争意识、强烈的共赢意识以及退出欧盟的冲击,引导欧洲地区人民币离岸市场的发展。
[Abstract]:In the era of international monopoly capitalism with the globalization of financial capital, monetary power is the dominant power. Home countries have access to monetary power commensurate with their political and economic power. Monetary dependence depends on the main conditions of the global economy, The realistic path of RMB internationalization is to cultivate the currency dependence on RMB by choosing the strategic fulcrum of RMB offshore market. The author measures the strength of the target country (region) in terms of strategic resources, independence of government, national financial power, and political and diplomatic relations. The two aspects of monetary and financial relations measure the bilateral relationship between the target country (region) and China, and design 16 specific indicators. The strategic fulcrum index of RMB offshore market is compiled to quantitatively analyze the global strategic layout of RMB offshore market. The analysis results show that the UK is the most advantageous target country for RMB offshore market in the world at present. China can take advantage of Britain's strong financial advantage, keen sense of competition, strong sense of win-win and the impact of withdrawal from the European Union to guide the development of the offshore market of RMB in Europe.
【作者单位】：上海社会科学院世界经济研究所;
【分类号】：F832.6

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