基于系统动力学的东北亚区域能源合作分析

发布时间：2018-05-06 09:32

本文选题：国际区域 + 能源合作　；参考：《长春工业大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：在当今时代,能源是国家和地区生存发展的重要力量。从最初的对煤炭资源的依赖,到对效率更高的油气资源的掠夺,再向逐步提高可再生、清洁能源利用比例的过渡,能源始终拥有着多重的属性。地区之间的政治、经济、文化的交往活动,往往以能源为媒介,因此与能源相关的一系列问题决定着特定国际区域的安全与稳定。本文主要由五部分构成：第一部分为第一章,在叙述论文选题意义、背景和目的的基础上,通过搜集并整理国内外学者从不同视角、运用不同方法对能源合作问题的研究成果,得出用系统动力学研究国际区域能源合作问题的合理性；第二部分为本文所依赖的基础理论与方法,为文章的撰写提供理论支撑；在第三部分,通过研究东北亚这一特定国际区域能源合作的特征及性质,找出影响该区域能源合作的关键因素,并运用解释结构模型得到因素之间的相互关联；第四部分是本文的核心,在设定系统模型条件的基础上,通过变量和系统动力学方程的确定,构建系统动力学模型；第五部分为本文的实证部分,将所收集的东北亚区域相关原始数据代入模型找到影响该区域能源合作的核心变量,为东北亚区域能源合作向着健康有序的发展提出建议对策。
[Abstract]:In the present era, energy is an important force for the survival and development of countries and regions. From the initial dependence on coal resources to the exploitation of more efficient oil and gas resources, and then to the gradual increase of renewable and clean energy utilization ratio, energy always has many attributes. The political, economic and cultural exchanges between regions are often mediated by energy, so a series of issues related to energy determine the security and stability of a particular international region. This paper is mainly composed of five parts: the first part is the first chapter, on the basis of describing the significance, background and purpose of the selected topic of the thesis, through collecting and sorting out the research results of domestic and foreign scholars from different angles of view, using different methods to solve the problem of energy cooperation. The rationality of using system dynamics to study the international regional energy cooperation is obtained. The second part is the basic theory and method that this paper relies on, which provides theoretical support for the writing of the article; in the third part, By studying the characteristics and properties of energy cooperation in Northeast Asia, the paper finds out the key factors that affect the energy cooperation in this region, and uses the explanatory structure model to get the correlation between the factors. The fourth part is the core of this paper. On the basis of setting the system model conditions, the system dynamics model is constructed by determining the variables and system dynamics equations. The fifth part is the empirical part of this paper. The collected raw data of Northeast Asia region are put into the model to find out the core variables that affect the energy cooperation in this region, and the countermeasures for the healthy and orderly development of the energy cooperation in Northeast Asia region are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：长春工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F416.2;F114.46

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