中国—澳大利亚旅游与贸易互动关系研究

发布时间：2018-10-26 18:44

【摘要】：在"海上丝绸之路"建设与"中澳自由贸易协定"签署的契机下,中国对澳大利亚"旅游外交"作用彰显,研究两国旅游与贸易关系对双边政治经济合作的进一步发展具有重要意义。在剖析旅游与贸易关系的基础上,选取1995—2014年中澳两国进出口贸易与出境旅游数据,采用计量经济学方法实证两国旅游与贸易之间的互动关系。结果表明:两国的进口贸易是出境旅游的格兰杰原因,出境旅游是出口贸易的格兰杰原因。脉冲响应分析结果显示,无论在当前或长期两国旅游与贸易都会呈现相互影响。从宏观层面而言,旅游偏爱度与入境客流量占比对两国贸易依存度均产生正向影响,证实了中澳两国旅游与贸易之间的互动关系,对两国进一步深化贸易合作,制定相关旅游政策具有一定的参考价值。
[Abstract]:Under the opportunity of the construction of the "Maritime Silk Road" and the signing of the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement, China's role in Australia's "tourism diplomacy" has been highlighted. The study of tourism and trade relations between the two countries is of great significance to the further development of bilateral political and economic cooperation. On the basis of analyzing the relationship between tourism and trade, this paper selects the data of import and export trade and outbound tourism between China and Australia from 1995 to 2014, and uses econometric method to demonstrate the interaction between tourism and trade between the two countries. The results show that the import trade between the two countries is the Granger cause of outbound tourism, and outbound tourism is the Granger reason of export trade. The results of impulse response analysis show that tourism and trade between the two countries interact with each other both in the present and in the long term. At the macro level, tourism preference and the proportion of inbound passengers have a positive impact on the degree of trade dependence between the two countries, which confirms the interaction between tourism and trade between China and Australia, and further deepens trade cooperation between the two countries. It has certain reference value to formulate the related tourism policy.
【作者单位】：陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院;
【基金】：陕西省软科学研究计划项目“‘一带一路’背景下陕西对中亚五国直接投资的区域和产业选择研究”(编号:2016KRM035) 2011年度教育部人文社会科学研究西部和边疆地区基金项目(编号:11XJAZH001)
【分类号】：F592;F596.11

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