中日进出口贸易及对日本经济的影响研究

发布时间：2017-12-27 18:43

本文关键词：中日进出口贸易及对日本经济的影响研究　出处：《河北大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：中国和日本互为亚洲地区重要的贸易伙伴,中日进出口贸易的良好发展对两国经济的发展起着十分重要的作用,自1972年中日两国实现了邦交正常化以来,随着中国改革开放程度的加深,中日两国的进出口贸易得到飞速发展,然而,2012年“钓鱼岛事件“进入白热化阶段,在进一步激化两国政府和人民之间矛盾的同时,也带来了双边进出口贸易额的剧减,日本对华出口受到很大影响,两国经济尤其是日本受到严重冲击。因此,研究中日进出口贸易对日本经济的影响,具有很重要的理论意义和现实意义。本文在研究了进出口贸易与经济增长相关理论的基础上,首先分阶段介绍了中日进出口贸易的发展进程,结合2014年两国进出口贸易规模及结构等现状,进一步归纳出中日进出口贸易发展的主要特点。然后,分别分析了汇率波动、经济增长、日本对华直接投资、政治因素和区域组织的发展等对中日进出口贸易的影响。紧接着通过选取中国对日本出口额和进口额作为自变量,日本名义GDP、日本消费、投资和日本就业水平作为因变量进行回归分析,通过检验并得出结论:日本对华出口与本国名义GDP、消费和就业成正相关关系,与日本投资成负相关关系;日本对华进口的影响方向则相反。通过实证分析可以看出中日间的进出口贸易对日本名义GDP、消费、投资和就业都有着重要的影响。最后,根据文章的影响因素和影响模型分析,提出了增加日本对华直接投资总额、加强政治交流和技术合作、完善区域性经济机构,构建东亚新秩序等建议,以促进两国进出口贸易的进一步发展。
[Abstract]:China and Japan are important trade partners in Asia, good development on import and export trade plays an important role in the economic development of the two countries, since 1972, Japan realized the normalization of diplomatic relations, with the deepening of reform and opening-up China, in two China's import and export trade has been the rapid development. However, in 2012 the "Diaoyu Islands" into the white hot stage, further intensification of the contradictions between the two governments and people at the same time, also brought a sharp decline in bilateral import and export trade, exports to China has been greatly affected, the economy of the two countries especially in Japan have been seriously affected. Therefore, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the impact of Sino Japanese import and export trade on Japan's economy. Based on the study of the import and export trade and economic growth theory, the first part introduces the development process of Japan's import and export trade, import and export trade between the two countries in 2014 according to the size and structure of the status quo, concludes the main characteristics of Japan import and export trade development. Then, we analyze the impact of exchange rate fluctuations, economic growth, Japan's direct investment in China, political factors and the development of regional organizations on Sino Japanese import and export trade. Then by selecting China as independent variables for Japanese exports and imports, Japan's nominal GDP, Japanese consumption, investment and employment in Japan as the dependent variable of the regression analysis, through the test and draw a conclusion: Japan's exports to China and nominal GDP, consumption and employment have a positive correlation, negative correlation with Japanese investment; affect the direction of Japan's imports from China are on the contrary. Through the empirical analysis, we can see that the import and export trade between China and Japan has an important impact on Japan's nominal GDP, consumption, investment and employment. Finally, according to the analysis of the influencing factors and model, proposed to increase the total amount, Japanese direct investment in China to strengthen political exchanges and technical cooperation, improve the regional economic institutions, to build a new order in East Asia and so on, in order to promote the further development of China's import and export trade.
【学位授予单位】：河北大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.7;F131.3

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