中国生产侧和消费侧碳排放量测算及影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-01-01 09:31

本文关键词：中国生产侧和消费侧碳排放量测算及影响因素研究　出处：《经济研究》2015年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文基于WIOD提供的世界投入产出表序列,采用MRIO模型测算和比较分析了1995—2009年中国生产侧碳排放量和消费侧碳排放量,并通过SDA方法考察了生产侧和消费侧碳排放增长的影响因素。结果发现,研究期间中国生产侧碳排放和消费侧碳排放均出现大幅的增长,但生产侧排放明显高于消费侧排放,"入世"后二者差距呈迅速扩大趋势;中国大量的生产碳排放服务于美、欧、日等发达经济体的最终需求,即存在突出的"发达国家消费与中国污染"问题,而中国消费侧排放主要发生在国内。结构分解结果表明,中国生产侧和消费侧碳排放量的快速增加主要是由国内最终需求规模的增长和生产部门投入结构变化带来的;而国内生产部门碳排放强度的下降则是有效抑制中国生产侧和消费侧排放量增加的最主要因素,但这种抑制作用近年来有减弱趋势。此外,中国与其他经济体的前向产业关联、发达经济体和发展中经济体最终需求来源地结构的变化及其需求规模的增长也是导致中国生产侧碳排放增加的主要因素。本文研究结论对于国际碳排放责任分配和国内节能减排、低碳经济转型具有重要的政策启示。
[Abstract]:This paper provides the WIOD input output table based on the world series, using the MRIO model and the comparative analysis of 1995 - 2009 China production side carbon emissions and consumption side carbon emissions, and studied the factors that affect the production side and consumer side carbon emissions growth by SDA method. The results showed that the production and consumption of carbon emissions China side side carbon emissions during the study period were sharply increased, but the production side was significantly higher than the consumption side emission emissions, "WTO" after the two gap is rapidly expanding trend; China produce large amounts of carbon emissions in Europe, the United States, Japan and other developed economies, the final demand, there is outstanding "consumption in developed countries and Chinese the pollution problem, and China consumption side discharge occurs mainly in the domestic structure. The analysis results indicated that the rapid increase in production and consumption Chinese side side carbon emissions is mainly due to the final demand growth in the scale and production Department of investment structure change; and the decline in domestic production of carbon emission intensity is the main factor of production and consumption Chinese restrain side side emissions increased, but this inhibition declined in recent years. In addition, the industry association to Chinese with other economies, changes in developed economies and developing in economy, the ultimate source of demand structure and demand growth in the scale of production factors also lead to Chinese increase side carbon emissions. The conclusion of this study for international carbon emission responsibility distribution and domestic energy conservation, low-carbon economy has important policy implications of the transformation.

【作者单位】：厦门大学经济学院国际经济与贸易系厦门大学宏观经济研究中心;厦门大学经济学院国际经济与贸易系;厦门大学经济学院能源经济研究中心;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“气候变化与国际贸易问题研究”(批准号:13&ZD167)的阶段性研究成果国家自然科学基金面上项目(批准号:71373218、71073131) 教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(批准号:12JJD790027)的资助
【分类号】：X22;F124;F126.1
【正文快照】： 一、引言在生产分散化和贸易自由化的背景下,生产与消费活动普遍存在跨国界的地理分隔。一国可以通过商品和服务的进口来满足国内消费与投资需求,同时把能源消耗和碳排放留在出口生产国。?贸易对能耗与碳排放的这种国际转移效应显著影响着进出口国的生态环境及其相应的排放责

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