对近年巴西经济增长态势的分析

发布时间：2018-01-01 12:23

本文关键词：对近年巴西经济增长态势的分析　出处：《学海》2014年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：2011年以来,即罗塞夫执政后,巴西经济表现可谓欠佳。经济增速不仅连续三年低于拉美地区的平均增长率,而且难以与其前任(同属劳工党的卢拉政府)执政期间的表现同日而语。期间,世界第六大经济体的位置得而复失,国际评级机构连续下调巴西的信用评级。导致巴西经济增长乏力的外因在于国际金融危机的持续影响,而内因则是自身全球竞争力水平不足,以及国内产业结构尤其是制造业升级缓慢。同时,较低的经济自由度也限制了对私人部门的投资等。预计,巴西经济增长依然将受到外部环境尤其是欧美和中国等经济走势的影响,某些大宗商品价格走低的预期对其也是一个不利因素,国内复杂的社会问题和长期困扰巴西的深层次矛盾等都对其经济增长构成挑战。
[Abstract]:Since 2011, the Brazil Rosoff power, economic performance is poor. The economic growth is not only lower than the average for three consecutive years of growth in Latin America rate, and it is difficult to its predecessor (belong to the Labour Party's Lula government ruling) during the performance. During the locations mentioned in the same breath, lose after having got it the world's sixth largest economy, the international rating agency downgraded Brazil credit rating. Lead to weak economic growth in Brazil the external cause is that the continuing impact of the international financial crisis, and the internal cause is the lack of their global competitiveness level, as well as the domestic industrial structure especially the manufacturing industry upgrading slowly. At the same time, the lower the degree of economic freedom is limited to the private sector investment is expected, Brazil economic growth will still be by the external environment especially in Europe and China economic trend, the prices of some commodities lower expectations is also a disadvantage to the The factors, complex domestic social problems and the deep-seated problems that have plagued Brazil for a long time are all challenging their economic growth.

【作者单位】：中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所;
【分类号】：F177.7
【正文快照】： 全球金融危机爆发后,拉美地区在复苏的道路上小步前行,虽然其中有的国家步伐稳健,但另一些则步履艰难。作为拉美地区第一大经济体,巴西虽在金融危机后经济增速一度达到7.5%,但此后的几年,不仅经济增长乏力,而且低于地区平均水平。过低的增速引发了连锁反应:丧失了世界第六大经

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