长江中游城市群产业结构变迁对经济增长的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-05 16:27

本文关键词：长江中游城市群产业结构变迁对经济增长的影响研究　出处：《湖南大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：产业结构是影响经济增长的重要因素之一。经济增长在一定程度上依赖于产业结构的状态，而产业结构会随着经济的增长发生相应的变迁。现代经济增长的过程，是产业结构变迁与经济增长相互依赖、相互促进、不断发展的过程。产业结构既是现实经济运行的具体体现，又是资源配置效果的深层反映，经济增长方式的转变在很大程度上是通过产业结构的调整和变迁来体现的。发达国家经济增长的成功经验也肯定地说明了知识经济时代产业结构变迁是保持经济健康稳定增长的关键。这对于正面临经济体制转轨和经济增长方式转变的长江中游城市群来说，，具有很大的借鉴意义。本文在梳理考察国内外研究成果的基础上，阐述产业结构变迁的规律，根据长江中游城市群的实际情况做出具体的描述性分析，并建立产业结构变迁影响经济增长的理论框架。在定性分析的基础上，基于长江中游城市群2000-2010年各地级市人均GDP均值，运用聚类分析法将长江中游城市群各地级市按经济发展状况的不同划分为三类，分别构建面板数据模型实证分析产业结构变迁对经济增长的影响，以缩小由于经济发展不平衡导致的模型估计结果与现实状况的偏差。研究结果表明，对于长江中游城市群I类地区而言，第二产业和第三产业的发展能有效促进经济增长，但第一产业与经济增长负相关；II类地区和III类地区的三次产业变迁均与经济增长正相关，但由于存在经济发展不平衡问题，产业结构变迁对经济增长的影响在地级市之间有差异。最后，本文给出了相关的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Industrial structure is one of the important factors that affect economic growth. To some extent, economic growth depends on the state of industrial structure. The process of modern economic growth is a process of interdependence, mutual promotion and continuous development of industrial structure and economic growth. Industrial structure is not only the concrete embodiment of the actual economic operation, but also the deep reflection of the effect of resource allocation. The transformation of the mode of economic growth is to a large extent reflected by the adjustment and change of industrial structure. The successful experience of economic growth in developed countries also proves that the change of industrial structure in the era of knowledge economy is to maintain the economy. This is the key to healthy and stable growth. This is for the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, which is facing the transition of economic system and mode of economic growth. It is of great significance for reference. On the basis of reviewing the domestic and foreign research results, this paper expounds the law of industrial structure change, and makes a specific descriptive analysis according to the actual situation of the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. On the basis of qualitative analysis and based on the average per capita GDP of cities in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River from 2000 to 2010. Using cluster analysis, the cities in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River are divided into three categories according to the different economic development conditions, and the panel data model is constructed to analyze the impact of industrial structure changes on economic growth. In order to reduce the deviation between the results of the model estimation and the actual situation caused by the imbalance of economic development. The results show that the development of secondary industry and tertiary industry can effectively promote economic growth, but the primary industry is negatively related to economic growth for the urban agglomeration I area in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. The three industrial changes of class II and III are all positively related to economic growth, but due to the imbalance of economic development. The influence of industrial structure change on economic growth is different between prefecture-level cities.
【学位授予单位】：湖南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F279.2;F224

【参考文献】