Economic Growth Growth Momentum TFP~ Spatial and Temporal Ch

  本文关键词：改革开放以来中国经济增长动力转换的时空特征，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。

改革开放以来中国经济增长动力转换的时空特征

Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of the Propulsion Transform of China＇s Economic Growth since the Reform and Opening up

[1]

Yu Yongze （Industry Development Research Institute, Nanjing University of Finance Economics~ Institute of Industrial Economics of CASS）

[1]南京财经大学; [2]中国社会科学院工业经济研究所

文章摘要：基于中国1978～2012年的省级面板数据，采用检验后的超越对数生产函数的随机前沿模型，利用两套资本存量核算方法，对中国经济增长动力的来源及其时空特征进行分析，并对2008年金融危机的4万亿元投资政策进行了效率评价。研究结果表明，中国属于典型的投资主导型经济，资本投入是中国经济增长持续稳定的最主要来源，TFP贡献率呈现逐年下降的趋势；中国经济增长动力由改革开放初期的资本、劳动力和TFP三驾马车平衡拉动，形成了现阶段的资本投入与TFP反向角力态势；区域经济差距主要源于资本投入与TFP双重差异，但TFP差异是最重要因素；4万亿元经济刺激政策下中国经济复苏属于典型的“投资主导型复苏”，是以牺牲中国生产率为代价的，TFP在2008年后呈现断崖式下降，平均拉低中国TFP达0．23～0．32个百分点。

Abstr：This paper analyses the sources of China impetus of economic growth and its spatial and temporal characteristics using tested stochastic frontier translog production func- tion based on Chinese 1978~2012 provincial panel data, and evaluates the efficiency of four trillion investment policy on the financial crisis of 2008. Research result shows that： China＇s economy belongs to the economy led by typical investment, capital investment is the main source of economic growth in China, TFP contribution rate shows a declining trend year by year; The propulsion of China＇s economic growth changes from evenly pull by troika includ- ed capital, labor and TFP in prime of reform to reversed wrestle within capital and TFP at the present stage; the regional economic disparity mainly comes from capital input and TFP double difference, but the difference of TFP is the most important factor; four trillion eco- nomic stimulus policy in Chinese economic recovery is a typical investment led recovery, which is at the expense of Chinese productivity. TFP in 2008 presents a cliff drop, and pulls down the TFP as 0. 23~0. 32 percentage points in average.

文章关键词：

Keyword：:Economic Growth Growth Momentum TFP~ Spatial and Temporal Character-istics

课题项目：国家自然科学基金“创新模式优化与区域全要素生产率提升：基于创新价值链与空间外溢视角”（71403115）、博士后科学基金一等资助项目“创新价值链视角下区域差异性技术进步路径选择研究”（2014M550114）、江苏省高校优势学科、江苏现代服务业协同创新中心的资助.

  本文关键词：改革开放以来中国经济增长动力转换的时空特征，，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。