山区城市地质灾害与经济发展的关系研究——以兰州市为例

发布时间：2018-01-07 04:20

本文关键词：山区城市地质灾害与经济发展的关系研究——以兰州市为例　出处：《冰川冻土》2015年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：兰州市是中国乃至世界上滑坡、泥石流等地质灾害最为严重的山区城市之一,区内地质灾害问题十分突出,防灾减灾任务繁重.地质灾害是影响社会经济发展的因素之一,地质灾害与城市经济的发展相伴共生,相互制约、相互促进.运用灾害统计学、经济学中的哈罗德-多马模型、脱钩模型等多种理论方法对2006-2012年兰州市地质灾害与经济发展的关系进行分析.结果表明:兰州市地质灾害总体上对经济发展的影响仍以负面影响为主,正面影响对经济的促进作用相对较弱;近年来地质灾害防灾减灾效果明显,已取得了良好的社会效益、经济效益和环境效益.在区内地质灾害高发和社会经济持续稳定增长共生的条件下,必须以实现"地质灾害的负增长"为当前和今后一段时期防灾减灾的重要任务和目标,最终达到地质灾害的有效防治与社会经济的可持续协调发展.
[Abstract]:Lanzhou city is China landslide and even in the world, one of the most serious mountain city geological disasters such as landslides and geological disasters in the region is very prominent, the arduous task of disaster prevention and mitigation of geological disasters is one of the factors influencing social and economic development, the development of geological disasters and city economy accompanied by the coexistence, mutual restraint, mutual promotion. The use of disaster statistics in economics, Harold Thomas model, analysis model and other theories decoupling method to geological disasters and economic development of Lanzhou city during 2006-2012. The results show that the geological disasters in Lanzhou city overall impact on economic development is still mainly negative influence, promote relatively weak positive effect on the economy in recent years of geological disasters; disaster prevention and mitigation effect is obvious, has achieved good social benefits, economic benefits and environmental benefits. In the area of high incidence of geological disasters and social economy Under the condition of sustained and stable growth and symbiosis, we must realize the "negative growth of geological disasters" as an important task and goal of disaster prevention and mitigation in the current and future period, and ultimately achieve the effective prevention and control of geological disasters and the sustainable and coordinated development of social economy.

【作者单位】：兰州城市学院马克思主义学院;兰州大学资源环境学院西部环境教育部重点实验室;甘肃省科学院地质自然灾害防治研究所;
【基金】：甘肃省软科学研究计划项目(1105ZCRA203) 甘肃省科学院应用研发项目(2013JK-07)
【分类号】：F127;P694
【正文快照】： 0引言20世纪50年代西方学者最先开始研究自然灾害与经济的关系问题,1966年Kunreuther和Fiore合作发表的论文中明确地提出“灾害经济学”一词,同年经济学家Hirshleifer第一个深入地分析了西欧1348-1350年经历的黑死病大爆发对经济的短期与长期的影响,其研究成果激励了更多的经

【相似文献】