不宜盲目追求技术进步对经济增长的高贡献率

发布时间：2018-01-08 15:01

本文关键词：不宜盲目追求技术进步对经济增长的高贡献率　出处：《理论探讨》2014年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在中国,把技术进步对经济增长有较高的贡献率当作是经济增长质量较高的标志或当作是经济增长可持续的前提的论点十分流行。流行的测算技术进步贡献率的方法存在着内涵不清、结果不确定的缺陷,使指标缺乏可操作性。粗放增长并非贬义词,仅是一个阶段性特征,不存在粗放增长和集约增长谁好谁坏的问题。技术进步对经济增长起着至关重要的作用,但是脱离国情片面强调经济增长来源的哪一方或忽视哪一方,将它们对立起来是不妥当的。重大的科学发现和技术突破往往具有偶然性和不确定性,技术进步的过程必然是波浪式的,不可能是线性的持续提高,对技术进步的速度进行规划是一种不切合实际的做法。追求技术进步的高贡献率是要求处于起飞阶段的经济具有成熟经济的特征,不符合经济发展的阶段性规律,这种追求容易导致对资本积累重要性的忽视,不利于经济的长远发展。
[Abstract]:In China. The argument that technological progress has a higher contribution rate to economic growth as a sign of higher quality of economic growth or as a prerequisite for sustainable economic growth is very popular. It's not clear. The lack of maneuverability of the indicators due to the uncertain results. Extensive growth is not a derogatory term but a stage feature. There is no problem of extensive growth and intensive growth. Technological progress plays a vital role in economic growth, but it emphasizes which side of the source of economic growth is separated from the national conditions or neglects which side. It is not appropriate to put them in opposition. Major scientific discoveries and technological breakthroughs are often accidental and uncertain. The process of technological progress is bound to be wave-like and cannot be a linear continuous improvement. It is impractical to plan the speed of technological progress. The pursuit of high contribution rate of technological progress requires that the economy in the take-off stage has the characteristics of mature economy. It does not accord with the stage law of economic development, and this kind of pursuit easily leads to the neglect of the importance of capital accumulation, which is not conducive to the long-term development of economy.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所;
【分类号】：F124.3
【正文快照】： 在中国,把技术进步对经济增长有较高的贡献率当作是经济增长质量较高的标志或当作是经济增长可持续的前提的论点十分流行。我们看到,“促使经济增长由主要依靠资金和物质要素投入带动向主要依靠科技进步和人力资本带动转变”作为转变经济发展方式的重要方面之一被写进了国家规

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