新疆经济发展中资源诅咒问题的实证研究

发布时间：2018-01-08 22:23

本文关键词：新疆经济发展中资源诅咒问题的实证研究　出处：《新疆财经大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：新疆是典型的资源大省，能源开发生产一直保持较大的力度，长时间以来为均衡国家能源布局和支持东部发展做出了巨大的贡献，但是自身的经济增速却低于全国大多数省份，这是不是说明新疆遭遇了资源诅咒了呢？中央新疆工作座谈会明确指出要实现新疆经济的跨越式发展，解决资源禀赋和经济增长之间的不对称关系，就显得至关重要。本文采用快速聚类法，以1978—2011年全国各省份的经济发展差异为研究对象，得出新疆处于资源诅咒严重区的结论，初步证实了新疆在经济发展中出现了资源诅咒效应。接下来，采用实证分析的方法，从外贸、投资、制造业投入、人力资本、科技、政府干预六个方面对资源诅咒进行解释。结果证明，加大固定资产投资特别是制造业投资，大力发展科技教育事业，都可以削弱新疆的资源诅咒效应。在整体性检验之后，本文以西部大开发为节点，分别对西部大开发前后新疆资源诅咒现象进行分析研究，，分析结果表明，西部大开发前后新疆不存在资源诅咒现象，但是在西部大开发后资源诅咒效应却出现了。接下来，本文对西部大开发后进行了专门性检验，结果表明，科技和投资对走出资源诅咒具有极大的指导意义。之后，在总结前人经验的基础上，本文对资源诅咒的传导机制进行了实证分析，结果也证明了前面的结论，投资对走出资源诅咒的作用是巨大的。最后，结合前文的分析，提出关于新疆走出资源诅咒效应的政策和建议。
[Abstract]:Xinjiang is a typical resource province, energy development and production has been maintaining a greater intensity, for a long time to balance the national energy distribution and support the development of the east has made great contributions. But its own economic growth rate is lower than most of the country's provinces, does this mean that Xinjiang has suffered a resource curse? The central Xinjiang work forum clearly pointed out that it is very important to realize the leapfrog development of Xinjiang's economy and to solve the asymmetric relationship between natural resources endowment and economic growth. In this paper, the rapid clustering method is used to study the economic development differences of provinces in China from 1978 to 2011, and the conclusion that Xinjiang is in a serious region of resource curse is concluded. It is proved that Xinjiang has the resource curse effect in the economic development. Then, the empirical analysis method is used, from foreign trade, investment, manufacturing investment, human capital, science and technology. The results show that increasing investment in fixed assets, especially in manufacturing, and vigorously developing science and technology and education can weaken the resource curse effect in Xinjiang. After the integrity test, this paper takes the western development as the node, analyzes the phenomenon of resource curse in Xinjiang before and after the development of the western region, and the analysis results show that. The phenomenon of resource curse does not exist in Xinjiang before and after the development of the western region, but the effect of resource curse appears after the development of the western region. Technology and investment have great guiding significance for getting out of the resource curse. Then, on the basis of summing up the previous experience, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the transmission mechanism of the resource curse, and the results also prove that the effect of investment on the resource curse is great. Finally, based on the above analysis, the paper puts forward some policies and suggestions on Xinjiang's exiting the resource curse effect.
【学位授予单位】：新疆财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F205

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