中国全要素生产率的再测度与分解

发布时间：2018-01-12 03:29

本文关键词：中国全要素生产率的再测度与分解　出处：《统计研究》2014年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文首次采用基于投入冗余的全要素生产率指数(ISP)来重新测度和分解中国1985-2009年的全要素生产率(TFP),该指数优势在于可以进一步测度与分解投入要素的生产率。研究表明:①国家层面,TFP增长解释了中国经济增长35.08%的份额。相比技术效率,技术进步是导致TFP变化的主要原因,生产前沿面年均向上移动3.53%;相比资本生产率,劳动生产率是驱动中国TFP上升的主要因素,中国的经济增长充分发挥了自身的比较优势。②区域层面,TFP差异是导致东、中、西部地区经济发展水平差距拉大的主要因素;但是无论是东部、中部还是西部,TFP的提升均体现在资本生产率与劳动生产率的技术变化方面。③省际层面,全部省份在样本期内都实现了TFP提升,2005年之后逐渐有更多的省份成为"创新者",而省际之间追赶效应表现得并不是十分明显;TFP、资本生产率以及劳动生产率在省际之间呈现出"强者恒强、弱者恒弱"的动态趋势。研究对我国今后经济增长挖潜、区域协调发展以及省际发展与赶超等问题,富有启发意义。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the total factor productivity index (ISP) based on input redundancy is used for the first time to re-measure and decompose the total factor productivity (TFP) of China from 1985 to 2009. The advantage of this index is that it can further measure and decompose the productivity of input factors. The research shows that the growth of TFP at the national level of 1 / 1 explains the share of China's economic growth of 35.08%, compared with the technical efficiency. Technological progress is the main reason for the change of TFP, and the production front moves up 3.53% annually. Compared with the capital productivity, labor productivity is the main factor driving China's TFP rise. China's economic growth has given full play to its comparative advantage. The main factors of widening the gap of economic development level in the western region; However, whether in the east, central or western China, the improvement of TFP is reflected in the technological changes of capital productivity and labor productivity. All the provinces have realized the TFP enhancement in the sample period. Since 2005, more provinces have become "innovators", but the inter-provincial catch-up effect is not very obvious; TFP. capital productivity and labor productivity show a dynamic trend of "the strong are strong and the weak permanent and weak" between provinces. The study will tap the potential of China's economic growth in the future. Regional coordinated development and inter-provincial development and catch-up and other issues are instructive.
【作者单位】：浙江理工大学经济管理学院;浙江大学经济学院;暨南大学经济学院金融系;
【分类号】：C812;F124
【正文快照】： 一、引言过去30多年,通过改革开放中国经济,创造了奇迹。在探寻中国经济奇迹的根源时,全要素生产率(Total Factor Productivity,TFP)的测度与分解成为研究热点。目前,TFP的测度与分解方法主要有两类:一是1957年索洛在其新古典经济增长理论基础上提出的索洛残差法。二是通过估

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