再制造产业影响宏观经济的模型研究

发布时间：2018-01-16 06:06

本文关键词：再制造产业影响宏观经济的模型研究　出处：《大连理工大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近年来,中国经济的迅速增长引起了日益严峻的资源短缺和环境恶化问题。再制造实践可有效解决产品回收处理环节的环境问题及面临的资源短缺问题。因此再制造对改变我国经济发展方式,缓解日益严重的资源和能源矛盾具有重要意义。但由于我国再制造产业目前仍处于起步阶段,产业发展影响尚不明晰。因此,研究我国再制造产业发展对宏观经济的作用及影响十分必要,有助于为政府制定和调整产业政策提供科学依据。本文基于再制造相关理论及前人研究,结合各国再制造产业发展现状,提出研究问题。基于投入/产出的相关理论与方法,结合再制造产业本身特点的研究,建立了含有再制造产业的投入/产出宏观经济影响模型,运用该模型分析再制造产业的投入、产出变化对其他产业的影响。在此基础上,结合决策试验与实验室评估法(Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory,以下简称"DEMATEL"方法),建立含有再制造产业的投入/产出--DEMATEL集成模型,该模型产生的因果关系图可以更直观有效地分析再制造产业在国民经济中的地位及对其他各部门的联动影响,及在国民经济中的相对地位。最后,以中国目前最新的投入/产出表——2007年中国投入/产出表为例进行实证分析：通过对中国典型发动机再制造企业进行调研及再制造产业现状的研究,取得再制造过程的相关投入/产出数据,运用再制造产业宏观经济影响模型定量分析了再制造产业经济影响,并运用投入/产出-DEMATEL集成模型分析了再制造产业在我国国民经济中的地位,同时分析了再制造产业的出现对国民经济其他部门的一系列联动影响。研究得出：再制造的出现可以在满足等量社会总需求的前提下减少社会总投入,同时将刺激传统的“高污染、重能耗”型产业的产出减少。分析结果对于政府指导我国再制造实践具有一定的启示与指导意义。
[Abstract]:In recent years. The rapid growth of Chinese economy has caused the increasingly severe problems of resource shortage and environmental deterioration. The remanufacturing practice can effectively solve the environmental problem and the shortage of resources in the process of product recovery and treatment. Changing the mode of economic development in China. It is of great significance to alleviate the increasingly serious contradiction between resources and energy. However, the impact of industry development is not clear because the remanufacturing industry in China is still in its infancy. It is necessary to study the role and influence of the development of China's remanufacturing industry on the macro-economy, which is helpful to provide the scientific basis for the government to formulate and adjust industrial policies. This paper is based on the related theory of remanufacturing and previous studies. Based on the theory and method of input / output, combined with the characteristics of the remanufacturing industry itself, this paper puts forward the research problems in the light of the current situation of the remanufacturing industry in various countries. An input / output macroeconomic impact model with remanufacturing industry is established. The model is used to analyze the impact of the input and output changes of the remanufacturing industry on other industries. Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory were combined with decision test and laboratory evaluation. Hereinafter referred to as "DEMATEL" method, an input / output integrated model with remanufacturing industry is established. The causality diagram produced by this model can be used to analyze the status of remanufacturing industry in the national economy, the linkage effect on other departments, and the relative position in the national economy more intuitively and effectively. Taking the latest input / output table in China 2007 as an example, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the typical engine remanufacturing enterprises in China and the status quo of the remanufacturing industry. The relevant input / output data of the remanufacturing process are obtained, and the economic impact of the remanufacturing industry is quantitatively analyzed by using the macroeconomic impact model of the remanufacturing industry. The status of remanufacturing industry in China's national economy is analyzed by using input-output DEMATEL integrated model. At the same time, it analyzes a series of linkage effects of the remanufacturing industry on other sectors of the national economy. It is concluded that the emergence of remanufacturing can reduce the total social investment on the premise of satisfying the equal amount of total social demand. At the same time, it will stimulate the traditional "high pollution, heavy energy consumption" industry to reduce the output. The analysis result has certain enlightenment and guiding significance for the government to guide our country's remanufacturing practice.
【学位授予单位】：大连理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F424;F124

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