生态福利绩效及其与经济增长的关系研究

发布时间：2018-01-16 23:05

本文关键词：生态福利绩效及其与经济增长的关系研究　出处：《中国人口.资源与环境》2014年09期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在一个自然资本绝对稀缺的"满的世界",如何在生态环境的极限内实现人类福利水平的不断提升是实现可持续发展的根本要求。在Daly思想的基础上,本文提出了由生态足迹作为投入和人类发展水平作为产出的生态福利绩效的概念。研究生态福利绩效和经济增长的关系,以及两者关系演变的原因,对于帮助我们从可持续发展经济学的角度理解经济增长的绩效和可持续发展的程度,以及指导我们在自然资本稀缺的情况下实现福利水平的不断提升,具有重要意义。本文利用2007年涵盖了124个国家和地区的横截面数据进行实证分析,发现生态福利绩效和经济增长是倒U型关系,转折点发生在人均GDP为3 000国际元的时候,即在经济发展的初级阶段,生态福利绩效随着经济增长不断提高,单位自然消耗可以带来递增的福利水平,人类的经济增长模式是向着可持续发展不断靠近的;当人均GDP达到3 000国际元后,生态福利绩效开始随着经济增长递减,单位自然消耗带来的福利水平递减,人类的经济增长模式正在逐步远离可持续发展的轨道。通过对生态福利绩效组成要素的分解,本文发现趋于平稳的自然消耗的经济绩效和一直降低的经济产出的福利绩效是制约生态福利绩效不断提升的重要因素。生态福利绩效和经济增长的倒U型关系证明了脱钩发展即经济增长和自然消耗的脱钩以及福利水平提升和经济增长的脱钩对于可持续发展的必要性。在此基础上,本文对处于不同发展阶段的国家如何实现脱钩发展提出了有针对性的建议,特别是我国脱钩发展的战略选择。
[Abstract]:In a "full world" where natural capital is absolutely scarce, how to realize the continuous improvement of human welfare level within the limit of ecological environment is the fundamental requirement to realize sustainable development. This paper puts forward the concept of ecological welfare performance with ecological footprint as input and human development level as output, and studies the relationship between ecological welfare performance and economic growth, as well as the reasons for the evolution of the relationship between ecological welfare performance and economic growth. To help us understand the performance of economic growth and the degree of sustainable development from the perspective of sustainable development economics, and guide us to achieve the level of welfare in the context of the scarcity of natural capital. In 2007, the cross-sectional data covering 124 countries and regions were used for empirical analysis. It is found that ecological welfare performance and economic growth are inversely U-shaped. The turning point occurred when the per capita GDP was 3 000 international dollars, that is, in the initial stage of economic development, the performance of ecological welfare improved with the economic growth. The unit natural consumption can bring the increasing welfare level, the human economic growth pattern is approaching to the sustainable development; When the per capita GDP reached 3 000 international dollars, the ecological welfare performance began to decline with the economic growth, and the welfare level per unit natural consumption decreased. Human economic growth model is gradually away from the track of sustainable development through the decomposition of ecological welfare performance components. This paper finds that the steady economic performance of natural consumption and the welfare performance of declining economic output are the important factors restricting the continuous improvement of ecological welfare performance. The reverse U-type relationship between Ecological Welfare performance and Economic growth. To understand the necessity of decoupling development, that is, the decoupling of economic growth and natural consumption, as well as the improvement of welfare level and the decoupling of economic growth for sustainable development. This paper puts forward some suggestions on how to realize decoupling development in countries in different development stages, especially the strategic choice of decoupling development in China.
【作者单位】：同济大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金面上项目“基于稳态经济理论的低碳竞争力研究”(编号:71173157),国家自然科学基金国际合作项目“绿色经济研究”(编号:71391230036) 国家社会科学基金重点项目“中国低碳发展的评价指标研究”(编号:11AZD102)
【分类号】：X24;F124.1
【正文快照】： 新古典经济学通常假定自然资源是中性的和无限供给的,只要科学技术不断进步,人造资本不断积累,劳动生产率不断提高,经济就可以无限制地增长,人类福利也可以随着经济增长不断得到改善。自然资本和人造资本被认为是可互相替代的,只要人造资本的增加大于自然资本的减少,或者把从

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