滇中经济区经济增长差异与收敛状况研究

发布时间：2018-01-16 23:26

本文关键词：滇中经济区经济增长差异与收敛状况研究　出处：《云南财经大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：经济增长问题始终是经济学界研究的热点话题之一，昆明、曲靖、玉溪、楚雄四城市的经济增长一直处于云南省的前列，尤其是这四个城市在被整合为滇中经济区后，它们的发展又被列入了“十二五”规划，在国家和云南省政府的着力打造下，滇中经济区成为面向西南开放桥头堡战略中的领头羊，但是在经济快速增长的同时，不可避免地会出现一些问题，滇中经济区内部各城市之间经济存在一定差距，，这种现状会影响政策的实施效率。因此许多学者纷纷探讨滇中经济区协调发展问题，就现有的研究成果来看，从差异角度来研究滇中经济区经济状况的文献比较多，但是从收敛性角度研究的文献少之又少，收敛性研究能够为快速实现区域协调发展提供一种思路，因此，有必要对滇中经济区的经济发展进行收敛性探析。本文通过分析滇中经济区42个县市的经济增长差异与收敛状况，得出影响滇中经济区收敛的关键性因素，并从这些因素着手提出对策建议，为正在进行的滇中经济区建设提供参考意见，具有重要的现实意义。本文首先分析滇中经济区的经济增长差异现状，得出该地区确实存在经济增长差异的结论，并利用非线性分形法对差异的变化趋势进行预测，发现滇中经济区的经济增长差异将缩小。然后在新古典经济增长理论与新经济增长理论的基础上，利用滇中经济区42个县区在2001-2010年的面板数据构建计量模型，得出滇中经济区存在绝对β收敛的结论，并测算了收敛速度，具体探讨了影响绝对β收敛的因素，得出财政收入、工业化、人力资本、产业结构对收敛有显著促进作用；最后提出从经济基础、制度变迁、人力资本、产业结构、城镇化率等方面创造条件加快提高收敛速度的政策建议。
[Abstract]:The issue of economic growth has always been one of the hot topics in the field of economic research, Kunming, Qujing, Yuxi, Chuxiong four cities of economic growth has been in the forefront of Yunnan Province. In particular, after the four cities were integrated into the central Yunnan economic zone, their development was included in the "12th Five-Year Plan", under the efforts of the state and the Yunnan provincial government. The central Yunnan economic zone has become the leader in the strategy of opening bridgehead to the southwest, but at the same time of rapid economic growth, there will inevitably be some problems. There is a certain gap between the cities in the central Yunnan economic zone, which will affect the efficiency of the implementation of the policy. Therefore, many scholars have discussed the coordinated development of the central Yunnan economic zone, from the point of view of the existing research results. There are many documents to study the economic situation in the economic zone of central Yunnan from the point of view of difference, but there are very few from the angle of convergence. The study of convergence can provide a way of thinking for the rapid realization of regional coordinated development. It is necessary to analyze the convergence of economic development in central Yunnan economic zone. By analyzing the difference and convergence of economic growth of 42 counties and cities in central Yunnan economic zone, the paper draws the key factors that affect the convergence of central Yunnan economic zone. It is of great practical significance to put forward countermeasures and suggestions from these factors in order to provide reference for the construction of the economic zone in central Yunnan. This paper first analyzes the economic growth difference of the central Yunnan economic zone, and draws the conclusion that the economic growth difference does exist in this area, and forecasts the trend of the difference by using the nonlinear fractal method. It is found that the difference of economic growth in the economic zone of central Yunnan will be reduced, and then on the basis of the neoclassical economic growth theory and the new economic growth theory. Based on the panel data of 42 counties and regions in central Yunnan economic zone from 2001 to 2010, this paper constructs an econometric model, and draws the conclusion that absolute 尾 convergence exists in the central Yunnan economic zone, and calculates the convergence rate. The factors influencing absolute 尾 convergence are discussed in detail, and it is concluded that fiscal revenue, industrialization, human capital and industrial structure play a significant role in promoting convergence. Finally, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to speed up the convergence rate from the aspects of economic base, institutional change, human capital, industrial structure, urbanization rate and so on.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127

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