江苏省低碳经济发展评价及影响因素分解

发布时间：2018-01-19 04:37

本文关键词： 江苏低碳经济发展水平评价聚类分析影响因素分解　出处：《南京财经大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：自2009年哥本哈根气候大会及2010年墨西哥坎昆气候会议召开以后，发展低碳经济成为各国的共识。2009年，国家主席胡锦涛在联合国气候变化峰会上也明确表示要大力发展低碳经济。毫无疑问，低碳经济已经成为当前的热点研究问题。江苏省作为我国经济发展的重要省份之一，研究江苏省低碳经济的发展问题对江苏省乃至全国具有重大的意义。本文在对国内外低碳经济发展相关文献进行回顾和研究方法进行对比分析的基础上，首先，从能源消耗、温室气体排放、产业结构、生态环境四个方面分别分析江苏省低碳经济发展的基本情况，并进一步指出江苏省低碳经济发展中存在的主要问题，即能源需求量大、消费结构不合理，产业结构重型化，政策法规不完善。然后，建立江苏省低碳经济发展水平评价指标体系，运用层次分析法计算出指标体系中各指标的权重，从而计算出江苏省及各地市2005至2010年低碳经济发展水平指数（LCI）,并对各地市的LCI进行聚类分析，得到三个碳区：相对高碳区，，相对中碳区和相对低碳区。进而，综合运用对数平均迪氏指数法（LMDI）分别对江苏省总体及各碳区进行影响因素分解，找出影响江苏省低碳经济发展的主要因素。最后，鉴于评价结果，文章提出了一些提升江苏省低碳经济发展的相关对策与建议，并归纳了相关研究结论，提出了后续需改进与完善的方向。
[Abstract]:Since the Copenhagen Climate Conference in 2009 and the Cancun Climate Conference in Mexico on 2010, the development of low-carbon economy has become the consensus of all countries. 2009. Chinese President Hu Jintao also made it clear at the UN climate change summit that efforts will be made to develop a low-carbon economy. There is no doubt. As one of the most important provinces of economic development in China, it is of great significance to study the development of low-carbon economy in Jiangsu Province. Based on the review and comparative analysis of domestic and foreign low-carbon economic development literature, firstly, from energy consumption, greenhouse gas emissions, industrial structure. Four aspects of ecological environment analysis of the basic situation of low-carbon economy in Jiangsu Province, and further pointed out the main problems in the development of low-carbon economy in Jiangsu Province, that is, large energy demand, unreasonable consumption structure. The industrial structure is heavy and the policies and regulations are not perfect. Then, the evaluation index system of the development level of low carbon economy in Jiangsu Province is established, and the weight of each index in the index system is calculated by using the Analytic hierarchy process (AHP). From 2005 to 2010, the index of low carbon economic development level of Jiangsu Province and each city was calculated, and the cluster analysis of LCI of each city was carried out, and three carbon regions were obtained: relatively high carbon area. Furthermore, the LMDI method is used to decompose the influencing factors of the whole and each carbon region of Jiangsu Province respectively by using the logarithmic average Dee exponent method (LMDI), which is relative to the middle carbon area and the relatively low carbon area. Finally, in view of the evaluation results, the paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions to promote the development of low-carbon economy in Jiangsu Province, and summarizes the relevant research conclusions. The direction of further improvement and improvement is put forward.
【学位授予单位】：南京财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F205

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